NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed090e1d2dba949c84acfadbbbe72b135989486315160ace77e650fc7ac76998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 63c | 22,523$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,223.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 20,972$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.62 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cavaliers | 37c | 19,496$7,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.38 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 19,426$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 66c | 19,089$12,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480.86 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…536dbacked Kings | 65c | 11,235$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Kings | 63c | 8,936$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Kings | 73c | 7,950$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.46 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 67c | 5,477$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.28 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Cavaliers | 36c | 4,435$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Cavaliers | 20c | 3,476$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.07 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 3,366$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kings | 63c | 3,356$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.05 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Kings | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cavaliers | 37c | 2,955$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…29f9backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,509$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 2,471$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.77 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Kings | 73c | 1,966$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers | 37c | 1,499$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Kings | 75c | 1,389$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…2a37backed Kings | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…c8babacked Cavaliers | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kings | 65c | 1,181$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Kings | 70c | 1,116$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 1,052$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Cavaliers | 16c | 908.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Cavaliers | 35c | 902.69$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.08 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cavaliers | 39c | 832.5$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.98 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Kings | 62c | 803.39$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 700$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 70c | 567.2$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cavaliers | 19c | 566.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kings | 62c | 499.94$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 63c | 487.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…80f4backed Cavaliers | 41c | 439.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cavaliers | 37c | 413.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cavaliers | 38c | 411.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cavaliers | 38c | 385$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kings | 74c | 384.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Kings | 61c | 349$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Kings | 71c | 345$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Kings | 59c | 337.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cavaliers | 36c | 320.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cavaliers | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 309$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cavaliers | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Kings | 64c | 299.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Kings | 74c | 290.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Kings | 62c | 262.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers | 38c | 258.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Cavaliers | 36c | 236.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Kings | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cavaliers | 36c | 211.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Kings | 62c | 210.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Kings | 77c | 209.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Kings | 63c | 201.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…5a20backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…344ebacked Kings | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…8edfbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.