TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$438,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed Jets52c161,592$84,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,406.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Islanders48c160,105$76,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,850.625253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Islanders46c25,031$11,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,514.2216743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,50042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders11c24,791$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.261,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets53c18,359$9,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,597.9831546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Islanders49c17,600$8,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,622.5456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Islanders46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.995745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Islanders47c9,047$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,251.9313251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets51c9,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3801,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders47c8,888$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,177.3686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Jets54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders11c6,178$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.4689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets61c6,084$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.7258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Islanders47c5,692$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.5538844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Jets53c5,420$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.391957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Jets51c5,203$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.384944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Islanders46c5,001$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.432360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Jets53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9624945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Jets52c4,533$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.692653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets53c4,400$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0681,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…0b45backed Islanders47c4,200$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders46c4,040$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.8769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…29d7backed Jets54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets52c3,761$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.7987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e6…f893backed Islanders47c2,827$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9173…450ebacked Jets54c2,370$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7b…b8e4backed Jets54c2,294$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7954…d018backed Islanders47c2,277$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Jets54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.224242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Islanders47c2,191$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0305253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Islanders47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Islanders49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets53c2,006$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.5289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets53c1,672$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.739242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682c…85afbacked Jets54c1,648$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc539…d53fbacked Islanders48c1,648$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ef…f3dfbacked Islanders48c1,647$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x550d…2b82backed Jets54c1,645$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders6c1,560$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.451,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders46c1,528$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.8530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders46c1,368$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.071,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Islanders46c1,327$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.2130848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Jets52c1,250$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.57157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Islanders24c1,200$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29313348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Jets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Islanders46c999.85$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.452955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…b4dfbacked Jets53c988.21$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ea…a1fcbacked Jets54c980$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…ad76backed Jets54c950$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders46c881.82$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets52c719.02$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.361,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb02f…0673backed Islanders39c650$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Islanders47c613$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.261,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51cb…e3abbacked Jets54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8099…af39backed Islanders47c553.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Jets54c550$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25374951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets53c519.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders46c515$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Islanders46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23048050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…7197backed Islanders4c490$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders46c489.85$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.311,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Jets51c445.65$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa904…9ad6backed Jets55c427.27$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…7041backed Islanders48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05eb…fe56backed Islanders47c414.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e9…3e8fbacked Jets53c408.81$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.14850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Jets53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3623653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Jets53c376.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5329345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe08c…fe61backed Islanders49c365.31$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7288…a435backed Islanders46c357.48$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.44825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb1d…6d92backed Islanders49c354.29$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Islanders6c350$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ba…93f1backed Islanders48c337$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x290c…c386backed Islanders47c328.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6908…e542backed Islanders48c326$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb69…c1aabacked Jets54c325.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe725…af65backed Islanders47c322.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets74c317.06$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.411,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6793…a2d7backed Jets54c315.2$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76cc…877fbacked Islanders47c315.17$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d72…84f5backed Islanders47c311.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…15f8backed Islanders48c302$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Jets51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14775946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd00…7b18backed Islanders47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa677…232fbacked Islanders49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…a064backed Islanders47c280.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7e…12bfbacked Islanders47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1043…6779backed Islanders48c264.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Islanders50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12521255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cbc…e294backed Islanders48c245.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200d…1fddbacked Islanders47c242.55$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe921…3fe7backed Islanders47c242.45$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Islanders48c239.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.462,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.