NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2a4cb2a4dfd0e3c827aaa85cf920655b724c3b4e357c6be48cd046056f0d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Maple Leafs, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,628,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,649,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,628,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,103,545$472,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472,096.87 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Utah | 57c | 439,237$250,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,871.77 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Utah | 57c | 220,776$125,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,933.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Utah | 58c | 178,058$103,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,784.17 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 58c | 85,174$49,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,076.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah | 58c | 72,077$41,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,620.58 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Utah | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Utah | 58c | 60,000$34,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,400 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Utah | 58c | 53,894$31,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,485.77 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Utah | 57c | 37,776$21,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,243.68 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 37,518$15,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,117.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 22,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Utah | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.89 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 18,451$7,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,772.41 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Utah | 57c | 17,500$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 79c | 16,415$12,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.1 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.99 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 13,605$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.13 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 13,095$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 11,633$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 10,814$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.98 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah | 58c | 10,037$5,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.54 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 10,000$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Utah | 57c | 9,500$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.22 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 8,800$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.82 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 8,386$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.68 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Utah | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Utah | 57c | 7,777$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.11 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 6,534$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.63 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Utah | 59c | 6,000$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.53 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Utah | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Utah | 58c | 5,660$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.32 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Utah | 77c | 5,632$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.63 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Maple Leafs | 4c | 5,564$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 9c | 5,300$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.19 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Utah | 57c | 5,135$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.05 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 56c | 5,122$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 58c | 5,048$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.03 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,047$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Utah | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Utah | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.97 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 4,850$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 4,781$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,683$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 4,566$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.98 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Utah | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.98 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Utah | 78c | 4,034$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.17 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Utah | 58c | 3,942$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.61 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.98 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Utah | 62c | 3,452$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.44 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Utah | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,395$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 2,790$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.75 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Utah | 57c | 2,595$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.66 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Utah | 77c | 2,537$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 2,500$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 2,480$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Utah | 59c | 2,420$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.59 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…e3e3backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,278$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Utah | 57c | 2,250$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah | 76c | 2,239$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.2 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b486backed Utah | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Utah | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Utah | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…341cbacked Utah | 58c | 1,740$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…c171backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,727$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…833cbacked Maple Leafs | 6c | 1,658$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Utah | 70c | 1,654$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.09 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,650$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.5 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,513$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.1 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,400$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,396$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.28 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 1,383$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,253$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.53 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,231$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.39 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Utah | 57c | 1,200$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63b…9c25backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,165$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,117$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,052$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 1,031$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,009$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.7 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Utah | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Utahthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.