MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4703a8c7fd9d7ca042489953be59fdc7601dda5f0224496acab913684b159d30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Brewers, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Brewers | 46c | 188,503$86,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,711.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mariners | 54c | 118,580$64,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,546.61 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 54c | 68,078$36,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,315.93 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 43c | 58,732$25,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,415.85 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 54c | 44,156$23,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,160.6 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 46c | 43,478$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 54c | 35,111$18,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,151.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners | 74c | 22,843$16,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.26 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 53c | 21,936$11,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,258.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Brewers | 46c | 16,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 46c | 12,434$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.5 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Brewers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 57c | 7,656$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.47 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 57c | 7,019$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.77 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 44c | 6,171$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 54c | 5,846$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 55c | 4,580$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.62 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers | 46c | 4,333$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 54c | 3,711$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.86 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mariners | 59c | 3,647$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.31 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 57c | 3,414$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.49 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 45c | 3,151$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.07 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 23c | 3,025$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 58c | 2,977$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.63 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 56c | 2,929$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.59 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 57c | 2,772$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,663$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.46 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 46c | 2,298$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.27 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,085$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.86 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Brewers | 22c | 2,019$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.83 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Brewers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 59c | 1,939$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.01 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 22c | 1,936$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Mariners | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Brewers | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 43c | 1,606$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Mariners | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Mariners | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Mariners | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 53c | 1,390$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.18 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 44c | 1,378$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…ba8dbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 43c | 1,258$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.19 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 39c | 1,252$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Brewers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Brewers | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…397ebacked Brewers | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Brewers | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 41c | 964.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 21c | 953$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mariners | 52c | 943.93$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.09 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Mariners | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 45c | 800$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Brewers | 46c | 782.61$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 37c | 700$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Brewers | 46c | 697.83$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 45c | 652.96$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.83 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Brewers | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Brewers | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers | 39c | 597.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Mariners | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 22c | 548$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Mariners | 53c | 466.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 48c | 438.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 58c | 411$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Brewers | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Brewers | 46c | 397.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Mariners | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…ba68backed Brewers | 23c | 361.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mariners | 52c | 324.7$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Brewers | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mariners | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 57c | 283.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…8f31backed Brewers | 48c | 277.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 48c | 239.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 53c | 221$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 53c | 220.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Brewers | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 46c | 219.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 46c | 217.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 54c | 213.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.