TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Orioles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oriolesof White Sox, Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbdd8…2ee5backed White Sox34c17,000$5,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.9812650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaef…d9f3backed Orioles66c9,999$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c55…a357backed White Sox34c9,999$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a9…f51ebacked White Sox34c9,998$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf1…a564backed Orioles66c9,995$6,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox19c9,349$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.379,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Orioles69c8,303$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.914858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles64c7,973$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.062,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Orioles79c5,301$4,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.7197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles65c4,581$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.662,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed White Sox36c4,188$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.745545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Orioles77c4,001$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.4416151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed White Sox33c3,983$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.4769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed White Sox20c2,611$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.411,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed White Sox40c2,521$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Orioles64c2,362$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.2991749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Orioles67c1,852$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.3479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked White Sox8c1,462$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.311442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c13…7ab3backed Orioles70c1,430$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox33c1,400$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked White Sox33c1,392$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46411357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed White Sox36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed White Sox28c1,296$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox16c1,235$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Orioles70c1,181$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.613554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox33c1,062$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles66c999.96$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed White Sox32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Orioles65c875.11$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles64c836.98$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed White Sox30c836.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed White Sox36c834.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.420523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed White Sox33c745.42$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.948530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles76c721.13$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox23c658.08$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Orioles66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.064261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox2c577.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.565053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked White Sox18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox35c525.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.51,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed White Sox33c517.49$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7720450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c5b…ecd4backed White Sox35c499.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0778…443ebacked White Sox34c473.29$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe858…6145backed White Sox34c463.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked White Sox9c438$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles66c418.79$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles66c417.51$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.951,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed White Sox32c404.56$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4625835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked White Sox33c401.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0615256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed White Sox32c343.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5210834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd78…230fbacked White Sox42c343.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ef…bcb4backed White Sox34c333.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…bccbbacked White Sox36c323.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Orioles66c319.15$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles64c318.86$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.791,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…1eebbacked Orioles67c305.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x735d…dd21backed Orioles66c303.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x381e…16e2backed White Sox34c301.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Orioles50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc5…82d1backed Orioles67c299.61$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.871050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ac…1914backed Orioles67c298.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.61540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf990…90f2backed Orioles71c296.97$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe811…8d16backed White Sox34c295$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed White Sox34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3ae…6e89backed Orioles66c290.23$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.688100%8 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Orioles67c288.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda41…9b18backed White Sox34c265.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111f…bce5backed Orioles67c253.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15b7…8a6bbacked Orioles67c252.16$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed White Sox26c233.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a5…2af8backed Orioles69c229.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4016…c9e2backed White Sox35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e05…27ebbacked Orioles66c227.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.291040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked White Sox40c215.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.844434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b80…d267backed Orioles75c203.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Orioles67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed White Sox11c195$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.738741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked White Sox34c191.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4825452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0a…4581backed Orioles61c186$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed White Sox8c167.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.417927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox16c161.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.681,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked White Sox35c161$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.354738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Orioles66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5130928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox8c147$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.738762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…e098backed White Sox34c144.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed White Sox35c133.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.664544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked White Sox35c127.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4417744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed White Sox36c119.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7db…07f0backed Orioles66c117.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.852842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed White Sox36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Orioles63c106.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4613353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.644,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed White Sox29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3415644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a47…a16abacked White Sox34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344568.9%31 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x70ec…1859backed Orioles67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed White Sox29c99.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.371,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.