TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,370,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,439,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,370,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Trail Blazers48c418,778$201,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217,764.420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Trail Blazers45c410,882$184,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,89351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kings51c200,000$102,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,50054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings52c200,000$104,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,00013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers45c107,156$48,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,521.432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kings44c104,910$46,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,300.3739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings55c100,000$55,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,224.9177348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb0…d8b6backed Trail Blazers49c98,177$48,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,070.474158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings52c81,222$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,0001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings53c80,000$42,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,50051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers51c79,376$40,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,610.8487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings52c75,623$39,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,523.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings56c71,994$40,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,316.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings55c55,000$30,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,164.211,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Trail Blazers45c52,637$23,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,950.4922453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings51c51,053$26,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,069.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings51c49,921$25,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,446.752,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings30c48,108$14,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,191.983,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Trail Blazers50c43,412$21,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,705.7921057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Kings57c41,346$23,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,518.871,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Trail Blazers50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0002568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Trail Blazers48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings21c32,398$6,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,832.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings26c31,874$8,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,347.821,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings17c31,861$5,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,328.581,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Kings21c30,618$6,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,434.6117646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Trail Blazers78c29,300$22,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,396.0615247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Trail Blazers69c28,151$19,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,796.1727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings56c27,500$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,40040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings5c25,999$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.9683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Kings21c24,998$5,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,182.9214243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Kings57c24,900$14,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,191.9519653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings52c24,016$12,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,607.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Kings49c23,747$11,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,636.1410947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Kings52c23,119$12,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,022.0652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings52c20,000$10,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Kings51c17,907$9,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,075.5719560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Trail Blazers46c17,873$8,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,569.0310547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c17,186$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.868820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c15,732$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.177211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Trail Blazers79c15,018$11,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.871675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kings51c14,864$7,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,640.0635251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Kings52c14,338$7,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,422.543351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Trail Blazers45c14,153$6,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,851.7819136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kings51c13,435$6,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,851.8547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c13,070$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.71,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Trail Blazers64c12,950$8,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,624.487062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings54c12,494$6,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,746.5528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings25c12,241$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Trail Blazers46c10,616$4,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.586651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Trail Blazers48c10,001$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.220551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Trail Blazers49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10035747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Kings56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Trail Blazers51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9006540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d74…bb57backed Kings0c9,934$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.03825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Kings1c9,717$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Trail Blazers48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Kings57c8,732$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.1917554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Kings50c8,719$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.4128439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Kings48c8,600$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16018140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kings54c8,559$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.9430947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Trail Blazers45c8,518$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.8513455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Kings16c8,357$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.1750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Kings22c8,313$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.837557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Trail Blazers49c8,200$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,18224549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings51c7,976$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.851,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings57c7,942$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings1c7,684$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Trail Blazers44c7,222$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,028.7766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Trail Blazers43c7,100$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.9913148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Kings56c6,840$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.410949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Kings56c6,809$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,812.940350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9373…4c6bbacked Kings55c6,751$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Kings40c6,621$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.4111142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Kings48c6,474$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Kings51c6,421$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.718553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings3c5,840$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.671,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Kings52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Trail Blazers44c5,769$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.5424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Trail Blazers53c5,692$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af6…aa84backed Kings56c5,645$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,161.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Kings31c5,635$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.5833632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Kings49c5,631$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75229037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c22…18dfbacked Kings57c5,500$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Kings55c5,500$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0254443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Trail Blazers47c5,374$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.1540041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings17c5,369$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings55c5,360$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…20e4backed Trail Blazers43c5,191$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…3158backed Kings56c5,031$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Kings56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Kings57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Kings56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80011244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa827…1adbbacked Trail Blazers43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.992931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Trail Blazers78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9829858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b4…3f37backed Kings56c4,966$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.