TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,899.9666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over53c20,183$10,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,605.551,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c16,420$7,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,612.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c15,669$7,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,267.572,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over53c12,447$6,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,597.1734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c8,018$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.673,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9817454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c5,641$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.3638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…d80fbacked Under49c5,440$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707c…7b55backed Under49c5,421$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1996…9337backed Under49c5,411$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6410…955bbacked Under49c5,381$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6c…c6a8backed Under49c5,367$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4642…3394backed Under49c5,324$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c9…3073backed Under49c5,279$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0202…633cbacked Under49c5,253$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7442…3717backed Under49c5,221$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf0…cec2backed Under49c5,210$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6e…4948backed Under47c5,160$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x902e…b242backed Under49c5,109$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…3643backed Under49c5,106$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c5,010$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.191,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1978…002dbacked Under47c3,130$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c2,850$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.632,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c2,744$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.222,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c2,653$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.871,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3f…fb08backed Under49c2,588$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68aa…8cc4backed Under49c2,578$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d65…8bf1backed Under49c2,576$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c7…c362backed Under49c2,574$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x352c…dedabacked Under49c2,568$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a22…155dbacked Under49c2,563$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08bf…0d23backed Under49c2,561$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeff…db48backed Under49c2,534$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…b83abacked Over51c2,457$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8f…3c2cbacked Under49c2,457$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c2,440$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.3132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c2,218$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.2758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,197$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.372,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under47c2,140$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.4316254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf70f…7912backed Over51c2,082$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2653…1d48backed Over51c2,072$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x708b…cec5backed Over51c2,072$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under47c2,070$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.135450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc193…8b03backed Over51c2,063$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.13450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…45c9backed Over51c2,062$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94e…cab5backed Over51c2,052$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a6…ee5ebacked Over51c2,042$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe723…5ecfbacked Over51c2,041$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a1…214ebacked Over51c2,031$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ff…ddfebacked Over51c2,025$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,013$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.845,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c58…1473backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…8255backed Over51c1,998$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.9840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea7…fa2ebacked Over51c1,997$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f8…1500backed Over51c1,967$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132b…5baabacked Over51c1,953$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.03450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8f…f80fbacked Over51c1,949$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d2…5b6ebacked Over51c1,934$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…0778backed Over51c1,924$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.2440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04da…aa3bbacked Over51c1,920$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500e…31a2backed Over51c1,915$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe584…2a74backed Over51c1,906$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…5e50backed Over51c1,895$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ee…8991backed Over51c1,862$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ea…113ebacked Over51c1,854$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051f…a485backed Over51c1,849$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a12…9099backed Over51c1,821$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cf…ab56backed Over51c1,805$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c1,803$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.561,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb423…5de1backed Over51c1,793$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…b076backed Over51c1,786$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c8…dc52backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6124…9899backed Over51c1,739$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e1…041dbacked Over51c1,697$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.47450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1274…0f3ebacked Over51c1,682$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7523…ef7cbacked Over51c1,670$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc406…e1efbacked Over51c1,627$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab9…00dcbacked Over51c1,623$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa723…8db6backed Over51c1,619$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.69425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa778…814ebacked Over51c1,604$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7a…9786backed Over51c1,596$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930c…e231backed Over51c1,579$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x543e…cffcbacked Over51c1,575$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec4…612ebacked Over51c1,552$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffdc…96afbacked Over51c1,541$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c65…b9b7backed Over51c1,514$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca7…8438backed Over51c1,508$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dad…79c1backed Over51c1,503$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.53450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under48c1,333$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.3312454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Under47c1,202$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.133148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under47c1,025$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Over50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c969$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under40c936.01$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.6320838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over53c910.13$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3717554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over53c770$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.732,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c687.5$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.547856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over3c679.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7367921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.