NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8ebe7bcf8fe7307a154afa2cb9a8c373cc28d68f3cca0c06d44582bcd61457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 70,201$34,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,133.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Kings | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 52c | 16,082$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,362.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 50c | 14,594$7,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,297 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 11,359$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.06 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 48c | 8,430$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kings | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…f018backed Kings | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 47c | 4,670$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings | 52c | 4,650$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 45c | 4,268$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.54 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…a5f9backed Kings | 51c | 3,865$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…5dd1backed Kings | 51c | 3,523$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…22eebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,452$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 3,332$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,132$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.83 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,754$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,648$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f4…cecbbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,612$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2653…1d48backed Kings | 51c | 2,566$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…45c9backed Kings | 51c | 2,541$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d65…8bf1backed Kings | 51c | 2,536$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…7912backed Kings | 51c | 2,517$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…470bbacked Kings | 51c | 2,502$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…aab9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,120$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kings | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…c5b2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,053$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3f…fb08backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…8cc4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…cab5backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,032$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…dedabacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,022$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…ee5ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 50c | 1,812$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 53c | 1,675$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Kings | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Kings | 51c | 1,570$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.68 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Kings | 47c | 1,426$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 48c | 1,336$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Kings | 53c | 1,325$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.89 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Kings | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Kings | 47c | 1,147$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 49c | 1,124$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Kings | 48c | 1,100$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Kings | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.11 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…c64cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 858$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Kings | 50c | 788.97$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 155 | 14.8%23 W · 132 L | -28.1wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 685.82$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 685$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 551.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 545.05$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 525.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.54 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 511.57$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kings | 47c | 507.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.24 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kings | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Kings | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 414.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…d081backed Kings | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…6ceebacked Kings | 51c | 347$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kings | 49c | 327$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 300.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Kings | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Kings | 52c | 250.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 184.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Kings | 50c | 184.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 165.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 157.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Kings | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 137.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 136.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 117.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Kings | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Kings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kings | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 97.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Kings | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 65.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Kings | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings | 44c | 58.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Kings | 51c | 53.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 45c | 50.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…7199backed Kings | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Kings (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. KingsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.