NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8c4ec9f865b73720071c56aca644c91785fe357532dda1a952bbc1659acba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 379,965$207,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,077.12 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 45c | 172,816$77,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,767.14 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 46c | 71,336$32,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,690.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 47c | 34,880$16,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,238.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 45c | 26,004$11,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,652.96 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 24,778$12,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,388.89 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 46c | 20,220$9,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,301.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 16,081$9,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 50c | 13,364$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Kings | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kings | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Kings | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Kings | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 48c | 8,731$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 56c | 8,569$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.24 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Kings | 47c | 6,545$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Kings | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 47c | 5,265$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 34c | 4,798$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,790$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 55c | 3,712$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.68 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,077$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 34c | 1,859$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 47c | 1,602$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Kings | 46c | 993.04$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 785.37$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Kings | 42c | 764.08$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 683$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 560$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 544.71$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kings | 49c | 492$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Kings | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 384.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 341.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 43c | 304.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 303.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 54c | 251$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 238.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Kings | 38c | 217.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 183$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kings | 23c | 179.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Kings | 45c | 166.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kings | 10c | 145.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 144.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kings | 40c | 138.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Kings | 45c | 122.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 116.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed Kings | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Kings | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Kings | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Kings | 46c | 94.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Kings | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Kings | 47c | 73.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d33…b51abacked Kings | 47c | 71.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Kings | 49c | 68.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings | 47c | 64.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Kings | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Kings | 47c | 62.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Kings | 49c | 58.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 58.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Kings | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 54.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Kings | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Kings | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Kings | 45c | 52.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Kings | 46c | 50.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kings | 47c | 48.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Kings | 44c | 45.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Kings | 46c | 44.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Kings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…6df0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 41.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kings | 34c | 41.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…0ac9backed Kings | 43c | 40.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Kings | 47c | 40.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…0cf5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Kings | 30c | 38.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Kings | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Kings | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Kings | 46c | 34.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Kings | 45c | 34.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Kings | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 32.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…e552backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 31.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…b84abacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…ac0ebacked Kings | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Kings (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. KingsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.