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NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c10,374$5,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,176.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c6,832$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.61,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over50c6,438$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.0666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…ef7cbacked Over48c5,570$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6124…9899backed Over48c5,512$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ea…113ebacked Over48c5,294$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca7…8438backed Over48c5,281$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc406…e1efbacked Over48c5,212$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ee…8991backed Over48c5,201$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…b076backed Over48c4,622$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec4…612ebacked Over48c4,622$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c4,400$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa471…8255backed Over48c4,328$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.4440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98f2…0778backed Over48c4,168$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c4,038$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.841,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x930c…e231backed Over48c4,021$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c4,013$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.741,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea7…fa2ebacked Over48c4,002$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe584…2a74backed Under52c3,536$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1274…0f3ebacked Under52c3,263$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d2…5b6ebacked Under52c3,238$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935b…6221backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x500e…31a2backed Under52c2,679$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051f…a485backed Under52c2,592$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over50c2,232$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0202…633cbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffdc…96afbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04da…aa3bbacked Under52c1,984$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa723…8db6backed Under52c1,971$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa778…814ebacked Under52c1,959$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…3643backed Under52c1,916$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7a…9786backed Under52c1,907$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8f…f80fbacked Under52c1,898$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c65…b9b7backed Under52c1,823$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cf…ab56backed Under52c1,774$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb423…5de1backed Under52c1,768$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…d80fbacked Under52c1,736$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1996…9337backed Under52c1,721$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c1,691$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.061,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c58…1473backed Under52c1,689$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…5e50backed Under52c1,654$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f8…1500backed Under52c1,587$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132b…5baabacked Under52c1,573$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…955bbacked Under52c1,540$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7442…3717backed Under52c1,529$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab9…00dcbacked Under52c1,422$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c8…dc52backed Under52c1,358$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Under50c1,106$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55324051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6c…c6a8backed Under52c1,011$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under49c993.47$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.6735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707c…7b55backed Under52c987$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a12…9099backed Under52c812$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dad…79c1backed Under52c803$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under50c780$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39017454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over4c734.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e1…041dbacked Under52c721$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Under50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4642…3394backed Under52c521$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24016053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over47c424$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x543e…cffcbacked Under52c423$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c400.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.012,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006040%24 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under53c387.47$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6227443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over47c340.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14741052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under50c294.8$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.47544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…3073backed Under52c274$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Under79c265.61$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.783063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under53c262.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1125056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c260.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.823,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Under50c190.82$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.827639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c187.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over56c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.65141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over48c119.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.353336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c109.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.223,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under48c102.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…b242backed Under52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Over51c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.416160.7%37 W · 24 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over51c89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.397353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Over51c78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.785253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.367346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf0…cec2backed Under52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under53c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.677448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under49c56.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.