TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over54c8,919$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.4166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c6,670$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x543e…cffcbacked Under46c5,515$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c8…dc52backed Under46c5,419$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab9…00dcbacked Under46c5,319$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a12…9099backed Under46c5,275$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e1…041dbacked Under46c5,260$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dad…79c1backed Under46c5,217$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under46c4,380$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.22,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over54c4,170$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.3922035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c3,002$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over50c2,550$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2755547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under5c2,188$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c2,134$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.273,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea7…fa2ebacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec4…612ebacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x500e…31a2backed Over54c1,973$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1274…0f3ebacked Over54c1,952$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa778…814ebacked Over54c1,946$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x707c…7b55backed Over54c1,884$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf0…cec2backed Over54c1,882$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…8255backed Over54c1,875$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e43…b076backed Over54c1,810$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99016053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under13c1,750$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.1320838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…b242backed Over54c1,748$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930c…e231backed Over54c1,733$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c1,725$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c9…3073backed Over54c1,712$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d2…5b6ebacked Over54c1,645$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c1,636$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051f…a485backed Over54c1,631$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6c…c6a8backed Over54c1,598$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under27c1,594$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.233,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…2a74backed Over54c1,563$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4642…3394backed Over54c1,536$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f2…0778backed Over54c1,517$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.1840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c1,375$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.033,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under16c1,019$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.761,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under8c805.66$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.9835326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under45c788.89$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8947354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under39c756$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.8450347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c267.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.267921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under23c201$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.191,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Over56c165$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.088052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f9…4375backed Over55c161.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over68c147.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c142.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.281,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over25c141.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.144025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under42c140$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.280744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Over56c124$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.448759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Over21c118.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Over56c115$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.48852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over52c111$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.727353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c9…0348backed Over57c103.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Over56c102$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.126058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c7…9ae7backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over72c76.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3c…0696backed Over68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58bb…d337backed Under35c58.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under46c56.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3732952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22fb…cd9ebacked Under45c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under43c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over56c51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.569258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c50.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.223,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba78…273ebacked Over57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Under44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.326048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6900…abb7backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Under44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.643658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.647448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Under44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.962552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b2…7025backed Over58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211136%40 W · 71 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under46c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.062,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e1…5848backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Under44c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.283447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under44c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.483565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Under44c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6116354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc9…801ebacked Under44c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.242450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Under48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.562055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7139041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Under44c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.563256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Under44c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.562343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Over57c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.637959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.