College Football · resolved market
Stanford vs. Hawaii
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e5f3843fc3ed9b5dc19b29f816819f867405258de1206536b5fc7b68f6a967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawai'iof Stanford, Hawai'i
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Hawai'i | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stanford | 41c | 15,539$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.12 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stanford | 37c | 7,829$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.77 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stanford | 46c | 5,402$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.92 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Hawai'i | 54c | 5,392$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.32 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Stanford | 47c | 4,848$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Stanford | 40c | 3,653$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.2 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Hawai'i | 58c | 2,820$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…4025backed Stanford | 45c | 2,610$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Hawai'i | 73c | 2,458$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stanford | 42c | 2,389$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Stanford | 45c | 1,892$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.19 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Stanford | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Hawai'i | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Hawai'i | 55c | 1,773$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stanford | 44c | 1,699$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.75 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stanford | 44c | 1,642$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Stanford | 30c | 1,572$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Stanford | 48c | 1,200$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawai'i | 51c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.65 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Stanford | 48c | 1,071$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stanford | 32c | 1,022$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawai'i | 56c | 958.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.67 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Stanford | 68c | 946.3$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Hawai'i | 49c | 894.7$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.21 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Stanford | 49c | 720.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Hawai'i | 56c | 715.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Hawai'i | 56c | 714.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Stanford | 46c | 557$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.91 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…79d2backed Stanford | 45c | 551.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Hawai'i | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Hawai'i | 54c | 519.58$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stanford | 45c | 499.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Stanford | 44c | 457.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Hawai'i | 53c | 414.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Hawai'i | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Stanford | 46c | 386$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Hawai'i | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Hawai'i | 57c | 299$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Hawai'i | 34c | 291.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Hawai'i | 47c | 291.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Stanford | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Hawai'i | 57c | 258$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Stanford | 63c | 250.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Stanford | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stanford | 45c | 241.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stanford | 43c | 240.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Stanford | 43c | 231.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Stanford | 45c | 226.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…37c7backed Hawai'i | 55c | 225.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Hawai'i | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stanford | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hawai'i | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawai'i | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Hawai'i | 53c | 176$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…4197backed Hawai'i | 57c | 175.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896b…0a51backed Hawai'i | 55c | 169.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Hawai'i | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…4df4backed Stanford | 34c | 164.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Hawai'i | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stanford | 71c | 156.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Hawai'i | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Stanford | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Stanford | 35c | 149$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Stanford | 35c | 143.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Hawai'i | 67c | 126.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…6e3dbacked Hawai'i | 39c | 126.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Stanford | 49c | 112.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Hawai'i | 54c | 110.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…21a7backed Stanford | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Stanford | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stanford | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Hawai'i | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Hawai'i | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Stanford | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Hawai'i | 53c | 99.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Hawai'i | 49c | 95.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Stanford | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Stanford | 46c | 86.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Stanford | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Stanford | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…995fbacked Hawai'i | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Stanford | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Hawai'i | 55c | 72.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Stanford | 56c | 71.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Stanford | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Stanford | 42c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Stanford | 67c | 69.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Stanford | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Stanford | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…7d9fbacked Hawai'i | 54c | 51.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Stanford | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…2d6fbacked Hawai'i | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Hawai'i | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Stanford | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Stanford | 60c | 42.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Stanford | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Stanford | 54c | 42.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Stanford | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Hawai'i | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford vs. Hawaiithis page
- Stanford vs. Hawaii: O/U 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.