WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe74684b83d94067dd266b307701f2e6eb3b80d3d1c618e6a52d0115d9494d4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Mystics, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 56c | 5,720$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.83 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Sun | 44c | 4,983$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Sun | 42c | 3,855$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 58c | 3,027$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.26 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sun | 45c | 2,994$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.8 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…41f2backed Sun | 43c | 2,600$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Mystics | 20c | 2,479$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sun | 45c | 2,336$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.17 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…560dbacked Mystics | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Mystics | 55c | 2,153$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Mystics | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mystics | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…d4c6backed Sun | 45c | 1,938$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…cff0backed Sun | 45c | 1,851$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed Sun | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Mystics | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Sun | 45c | 1,588$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.61 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mystics | 27c | 1,381$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mystics | 58c | 1,048$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 44c | 848.11$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.94 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 5c | 847.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mystics | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 56c | 623.26$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.26 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sun | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Sun | 70c | 351.08$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mystics | 21c | 343.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mystics | 21c | 312.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mystics | 33c | 302.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mystics | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 43c | 231.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sun | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mystics | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mystics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Sun | 55c | 182.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sun | 62c | 173.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Mystics | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…0bb1backed Mystics | 58c | 171.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Mystics | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Mystics | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Mystics | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sun | 42c | 119.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Mystics | 63c | 118.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Sun | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Mystics | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Sun | 49c | 100.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mystics | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Mystics | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mystics | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Sun | 74c | 80.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sun | 34c | 57.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sun | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Mystics | 56c | 46.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sun | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…d15cbacked Mystics | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sun | 43c | 39.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Mystics | 52c | 38.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sun | 36c | 35.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Sun | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d88…81a0backed Sun | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Mystics | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Mystics | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Sun | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sun | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Sun | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sun | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.