WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d887c6f60c4dc047a21fd862c8eee8fc906d5b68dd1f04e8d8c7999a527b195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Sky, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 75c | 3,672$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.27 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Sky | 23c | 2,148$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sun | 56c | 1,994$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.94 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Sky | 36c | 1,907$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Sky | 11c | 1,837$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sky | 42c | 1,833$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sun | 60c | 1,516$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.43 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sun | 57c | 1,416$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.83 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 70c | 1,232$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Sun | 60c | 1,215$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sun | 59c | 1,157$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Sky | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Sky | 45c | 938$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sky | 40c | 803$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sun | 57c | 721.81$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sky | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Sky | 41c | 608.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sky | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sky | 43c | 597.37$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Sun | 76c | 462.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sky | 44c | 403.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Sky | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Sky | 17c | 370.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sun | 60c | 331.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Sky | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sky | 7c | 299.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sky | 17c | 201.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Sky | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Sky | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sky | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sun | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Sun | 47c | 162$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sky | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Sky | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Sky | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Sun | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Sun | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sky | 42c | 99.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sky | 36c | 96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sky | 43c | 92.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sun | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…a7eebacked Sky | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Sky | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…bf7bbacked Sun | 72c | 41.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Sun | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…8f8dbacked Sky | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…dd59backed Sun | 60c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.