Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7ac7373acdf444f3c592e82dda86dea2b026f7ea83ba60ec4585021bb59cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Lifeof DN Freecs, Hanwha Life
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed DN Freecs | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Hanwha Life | 61c | 2,260$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.52 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed DN Freecs | 39c | 2,108$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.95 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs | 38c | 1,627$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.85 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Hanwha Life | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed DN Freecs | 41c | 1,116$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.42 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hanwha Life | 59c | 787$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.82 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Life | 77c | 606.63$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Hanwha Life | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Hanwha Life | 61c | 331.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Hanwha Life | 60c | 329.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked Hanwha Life | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Hanwha Life | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed DN Freecs | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Hanwha Life | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked DN Freecs | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Hanwha Life | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Hanwha Life | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hanwha Life | 61c | 78.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Hanwha Life | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Hanwha Life | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.