MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ee8e1eaf145c8a08dfc1e6144454210cc45cef17ddb6fd32eb3bba2b00d1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Blue Jays, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 698 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Pirates | 51c | 229,671$116,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,914.65 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 49c | 71,491$35,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,030.58 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 40,321$23,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,530 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 51c | 39,524$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 39,375$20,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,101.92 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pirates | 50c | 33,333$16,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.5 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 30,150$14,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,773.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 49c | 26,487$12,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,978.62 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Pirates | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 49c | 21,002$10,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,710.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 26c | 15,225$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 14,157$6,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,926.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 51c | 13,400$6,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.16 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 50c | 12,071$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.84 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 46c | 11,124$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.43 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Pirates | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Pirates | 62c | 7,905$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.41 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 26c | 6,542$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 49c | 6,404$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.59 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 6,061$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 50c | 4,628$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.08 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Pirates | 53c | 4,216$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.44 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 4,164$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Pirates | 45c | 3,452$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.45 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blue Jays | 49c | 3,320$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.73 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pirates | 54c | 3,210$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 38c | 3,026$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,949$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.08 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 51c | 2,939$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.22 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 49c | 2,341$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.81 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 51c | 2,277$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.54 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,176$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 26c | 2,065$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 33c | 1,996$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.3 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,891$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…a7e0backed Pirates | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…021cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,772$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,766$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,728$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…52bcbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,720$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,555$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.78 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…ea31backed Blue Jays | 37c | 1,471$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pirates | 51c | 1,249$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.2 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,235$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…531ebacked Pirates | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,113$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.56 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…181dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…c203backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6bdebacked Pirates | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 51c | 996.48$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.82 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 50c | 993.8$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 992.5$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.33 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Blue Jays | 47c | 974.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Blue Jays | 49c | 958$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 53c | 947.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.29 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Blue Jays | 54c | 929.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 903.2$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Blue Jays | 56c | 900$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Blue Jays | 49c | 899.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 857$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 52c | 800$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Blue Jays | 49c | 799.15$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.58 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 731.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 47c | 700$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 681.6$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 41c | 680$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.79 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pirates | 51c | 600.2$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 567.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.42 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Pirates | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pirates | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Blue Jays | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 59c | 485.2$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 50c | 465$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 439.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Blue Jays | 50c | 437.04$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.04 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jays | 3c | 432$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 51c | 428.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Blue Jays | 51c | 416.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Blue Jays | 53c | 413.41$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Blue Jays | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 51c | 399.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Blue Jays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 35c | 386.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Blue Jays | 31c | 382.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blue Jays | 6c | 358.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pirates | 50c | 353.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.