Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Bilibili Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5229000125755e691e3ae66a0089b7fcff45d82e3320551ae59a3ffe6bbba17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof FunPlus Phoenix, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 34,640$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.67 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 23,121$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.09 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FunPlus Phoenix | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FunPlus Phoenix | 9c | 5,000$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.97 | 2,370 | 32%758 W · 1,612 L | +42.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed FunPlus Phoenix | 3c | 4,093$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 5c | 3,205$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FunPlus Phoenix | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 2,837$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked FunPlus Phoenix | 4c | 2,180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 218 | 29.4%64 W · 154 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FunPlus Phoenix | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 999.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 1,187 | 44.4%527 W · 660 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 912.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed FunPlus Phoenix | 12c | 823.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 637.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…7929backed FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed FunPlus Phoenix | 8c | 455$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed FunPlus Phoenix | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 560 | 45%252 W · 308 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…066dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 13c | 393.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…29aebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 4c | 333.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed FunPlus Phoenix | 8c | 275.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 242.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 320 | 61.3%196 W · 124 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed FunPlus Phoenix | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FunPlus Phoenix | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed FunPlus Phoenix | 8c | 195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.