NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf4729f108133d5fc1c37ffb25ef6ad62cecd1706ee42f8e648088cc8b689331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Jazz, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $586,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Jazz | 18c | 56,983$10,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,256.91 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Jazz | 27c | 40,413$11,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,066.56 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz | 19c | 26,316$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 26c | 24,238$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 75c | 20,231$15,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.66 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Jazz | 18c | 15,078$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.28 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Jazz | 22c | 12,838$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.06 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Grizzlies | 65c | 11,724$7,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 13c | 9,699$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.88 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Jazz | 15c | 9,521$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Jazz | 15c | 9,224$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.61 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 14c | 8,079$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 18c | 6,997$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.44 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Jazz | 14c | 6,310$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Jazz | 16c | 6,162$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.07 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Jazz | 2c | 5,311$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Jazz | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz | 5c | 4,940$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 13c | 4,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Jazz | 17c | 3,636$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.12 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 3,480$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.62 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz | 26c | 3,391$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.49 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Grizzlies | 69c | 3,019$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.49 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz | 17c | 2,913$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.14 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 18c | 2,557$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.85 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 7c | 2,378$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Jazz | 18c | 2,309$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Jazz | 14c | 2,100$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Jazz | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Jazz | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Jazz | 21c | 1,633$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.12 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies | 73c | 1,439$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.56 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 23c | 1,327$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Jazz | 13c | 1,288$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 1,186$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz | 18c | 1,134$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Jazz | 26c | 1,123$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.17 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Jazz | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Jazz | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Jazz | 16c | 985.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.64 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Jazz | 14c | 979.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 14c | 938.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Jazz | 16c | 923.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 19c | 912.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 14c | 808.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz | 15c | 729.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Jazz | 27c | 695.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz | 16c | 675$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Jazz | 18c | 656.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz | 16c | 607.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 15c | 575.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jazz | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Jazz | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz | 17c | 499.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…d747backed Jazz | 34c | 444.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x774e…4665backed Jazz | 16c | 443.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 6c | 422.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz | 12c | 412.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…cff6backed Jazz | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 15c | 341.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…9865backed Jazz | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Jazz | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Jazz | 14c | 330$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 15c | 322.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Grizzlies | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Jazz | 18c | 312$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Jazz | 19c | 280.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Grizzlies | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92e…29cabacked Jazz | 24c | 271.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Grizzlies | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 255.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Jazz | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Jazz | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…092fbacked Jazz | 16c | 249.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz | 17c | 248.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…e535backed Jazz | 16c | 237.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…0597backed Jazz | 16c | 225.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…ed27backed Grizzlies | 70c | 222$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…eafabacked Jazz | 16c | 221.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Jazz | 15c | 214.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Jazz | 16c | 210$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e97…d3b6backed Jazz | 19c | 202.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…0532backed Jazz | 16c | 202.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Grizzlies | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…190cbacked Jazz | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Jazz | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…7e29backed Jazz | 16c | 188.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c09dbacked Jazz | 18c | 186$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Jazz | 18c | 180.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Jazz | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz | 22c | 171.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.