Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b72dcede9796e114239ef74ff074ae9294fde879802c80c544624eac88c67be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x848d…9b10backed Yes | 23c | 10,051$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…5550backed Yes | 22c | 10,051$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…dd86backed Yes | 22c | 10,028$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…e8eebacked No | 78c | 10,022$7,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…0f0dbacked No | 78c | 9,992$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…e638backed No | 77c | 9,924$7,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 5c | 3,026$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 2,953$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.51 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 2,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.75 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4664backed Yes | 28c | 2,107$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 890.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 23c | 425.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 24c | 411.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 256.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 23c | 173.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 21c | 126.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked No | 78c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed No | 78c | 78.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed No | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…252abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 51.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…9f31backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 24c | 44.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.