TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes2c15,375$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes56c9,008$5,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,086.6518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No43c8,155$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,608.2414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes50c5,197$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6009235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes56c4,286$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No44c3,364$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.219754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes6c2,492$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed No46c2,236$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.31758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…c420backed No44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No43c1,800$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.6790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes31c1,786$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6e…ba8dbacked Yes55c1,632$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No44c1,461$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.0613547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Yes56c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes14c1,160$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6914732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No44c1,076$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6240046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588c…6929backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes55c999.98$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9940640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Yes55c999.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc116…a70abacked No44c999.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Yes74c750$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes56c710.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf745…d12cbacked Yes57c698.21$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3368…f2eabacked No45c630$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes57c530.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2803647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes56c499.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.995750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed No45c461.78$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c455.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No44c400.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes26c400$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes64c317.59$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9626054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0190…4778backed Yes58c301.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed No45c277.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed No45c271.24$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes55c261.44$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7921445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No44c260.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c6…51b1backed No46c238.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…80dabacked Yes56c236.04$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed No46c227.33$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes57c220.08$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed No44c212.22$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ce…2f7abacked Yes55c210.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c199.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdf…b489backed Yes56c190.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f6…d17dbacked No46c185.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Yes56c185.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked Yes56c178.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f7…48bfbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes50c175.58$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.799238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Yes57c174.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd1…639bbacked No45c172.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd180…0989backed No45c168.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb1…2573backed Yes56c165.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes75c160$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed No44c149.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed No44c149.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.998747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be5…22cfbacked No46c145.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Yes56c143.34$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes54c139.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe155…3b5fbacked No46c138.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Yes56c128.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Yes56c126.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dea…8128backed No45c123.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.02825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.19756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No45c110.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.057159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3d2a…5502backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…3c70backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes55c99.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.975429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd97e…a81ebacked Yes56c98.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db9…245ebacked No44c98.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes56c94.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No43c93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0152060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No43c92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2318752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Yes56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No25c85.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No43c85.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8119735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes57c84.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b8a…6b2ebacked Yes58c83.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.