Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d73008971c5ec694dfba846cddf955188562b4d224cbf08da67d8ce793b7c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 12,136$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,366.01 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 10,091$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,177.76 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 77c | 7,346$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.93 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 44c | 5,416$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.89 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 78c | 1,474$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.72 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4664backed Yes | 62c | 890.39$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 76c | 818.68$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Yes | 74c | 595$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 376.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.54 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 63c | 363.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 78c | 319.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 66c | 313.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 39c | 280.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 28c | 260.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 8c | 220.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 169$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 21c | 133.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 21c | 116.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 21c | 109.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…e97abacked Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…9713backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 22c | 68.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 27c | 59.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…31dfbacked No | 78c | 46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…af88backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-03-15?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.