Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Athletic Club vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2506933556467a9e734f3b598be2e4ca70ed6cc9dda465bb95fc3c99b243894b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 25c | 2,240$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,978$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.82 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked No | 74c | 1,390$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Yes | 26c | 1,388$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…83c2backed Yes | 13c | 969.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 906.67$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Yes | 26c | 399.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 79c | 380.52$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 28c | 341.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 318.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 74c | 299.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 223.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…0e7bbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 14c | 127.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 120.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…8a3bbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…9016backed No | 75c | 96.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…6665backed Yes | 26c | 61.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 47.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…e155backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…d342backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…5032backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.