Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2565d91a1e958305581b30f2f3c9b9e1c84db0ce3f7be235a64135fb557c3a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Yes | 24c | 7,089$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 5,443$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.59 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 4,501$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.81 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 76c | 4,140$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.91 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.98 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,020$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 77c | 1,970$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 1,754$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 77c | 1,448$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.74 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 24c | 959.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 594.92$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 76c | 502.46$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 75c | 431$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes | 25c | 393.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…5124backed Yes | 25c | 311.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 288.58$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 254.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 75c | 253.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 9c | 231.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 212$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…940bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ffc6backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 22c | 118.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked No | 79c | 99.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 24c | 84.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…cd3abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 78c | 79.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…9b1cbacked Yes | 24c | 63.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…2ae6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…4415backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…03c7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…86c9backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked No | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.