Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84330502fa02074593cadca70928d48833cbf5ce4c57eafe310720fd427763c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4bd…9340backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…dd9cbacked No | 78c | 9,999$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 3,057$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.31 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 1,962$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.3 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,668$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.08 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 23c | 1,056$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 79c | 790$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 70c | 700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 23c | 648.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.16 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 544.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 23c | 496.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 453.32$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 22c | 444.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 76c | 438.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 79c | 426.46$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Yes | 76c | 264.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 77c | 259.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 23c | 258.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked No | 30c | 230.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 79c | 197.32$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 73c | 176.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…bb94backed No | 78c | 125$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…5251backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 19c | 123.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 52c | 101.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 77c | 98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…eda0backed Yes | 23c | 86.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…c13bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…ca1abacked Yes | 22c | 73.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 23c | 71.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed No | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Yes | 23c | 62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 78c | 50.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 22c | 50.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Yes | 73c | 42.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 77c | 33.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 80c | 27.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.