NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffda876f8ccf557a28cb5e794c0be2909a24e454bcd00261132ff61ac74c85f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Blackhawks, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x069b…f8b8backed Blackhawks | 34c | 57,353$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…c44ebacked Penguins | 66c | 50,608$33,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,206.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…51a2backed Penguins | 66c | 33,950$22,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,543 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…2e1fbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 32,700$11,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…d295backed Penguins | 66c | 27,286$18,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,277.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…d685backed Blackhawks | 34c | 21,750$7,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Penguins | 66c | 4,534$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.7 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 4,433$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Penguins | 67c | 3,017$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.55 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 33c | 2,400$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 72c | 2,065$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.44 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blackhawks | 28c | 2,055$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.34 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blackhawks | 34c | 1,732$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.88 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Penguins | 66c | 1,569$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Blackhawks | 34c | 1,567$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Penguins | 66c | 1,525$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Penguins | 66c | 1,510$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.4 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Blackhawks | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 74c | 1,190$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.39 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks | 34c | 1,120$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks | 4c | 1,018$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Blackhawks | 6c | 937.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 887.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blackhawks | 33c | 881.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Blackhawks | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 67c | 630.31$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks | 33c | 485.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks | 33c | 455.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Penguins | 66c | 440.04$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Blackhawks | 11c | 434.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Blackhawks | 33c | 424.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks | 33c | 408.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Penguins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Penguins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked Penguins | 67c | 269.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 244.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Penguins | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…ec29backed Penguins | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…09ccbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 185.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…2ec7backed Blackhawks | 34c | 156.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Penguins | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Blackhawks | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…cf1abacked Blackhawks | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…eb6cbacked Penguins | 66c | 115.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…89c0backed Blackhawks | 33c | 104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…c4b2backed Penguins | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…feb5backed Penguins | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba7…e841backed Blackhawks | 34c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…ff34backed Penguins | 66c | 102$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…9deabacked Penguins | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…f94dbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Penguins | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…9ad8backed Blackhawks | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Penguins | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…13a9backed Penguins | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blackhawks | 34c | 96.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Penguins | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…b4debacked Penguins | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…9f6bbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Penguins | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…3095backed Blackhawks | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22d…1e04backed Penguins | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 84.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fa16backed Blackhawks | 35c | 84.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…9935backed Penguins | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…34bfbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…6257backed Penguins | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…0f9cbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 79.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…d6dbbacked Penguins | 67c | 79.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…c40ebacked Penguins | 67c | 79.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 79c | 77.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…bee5backed Penguins | 67c | 76.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…5813backed Penguins | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1083…a57fbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Penguins | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Penguins | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Penguins | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…f346backed Blackhawks | 34c | 74.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…64abbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 72.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…2d6ebacked Penguins | 67c | 71.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…2e84backed Blackhawks | 35c | 70.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…8984backed Blackhawks | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…da1cbacked Penguins | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878f…0084backed Penguins | 67c | 67.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…a938backed Blackhawks | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…7b9ebacked Penguins | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…9e2bbacked Penguins | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Penguins | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Penguins | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Blackhawks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…b634backed Penguins | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Penguins | 74c | 54.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Penguins | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Blackhawks | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…3c37backed Penguins | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Penguins | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.