NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78196f64808c3631a786a269bb3fb13c0ea01513294607c32271f39987b20de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Oilers | 72c | 13,070$9,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.55 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Oilers | 74c | 9,626$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sharks | 28c | 6,044$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.86 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Oilers | 73c | 6,018$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.91 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks | 26c | 5,259$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks | 29c | 5,043$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.76 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks | 30c | 5,000$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.9 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Oilers | 71c | 4,490$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.96 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 63c | 3,142$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Sharks | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sharks | 28c | 2,302$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.56 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Sharks | 28c | 2,190$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Sharks | 27c | 1,554$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.01 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 71c | 1,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…2e12backed Sharks | 29c | 1,498$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Oilers | 71c | 1,498$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Sharks | 27c | 1,400$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 72c | 1,366$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Oilers | 70c | 1,262$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.42 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Oilers | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5a61backed Sharks | 27c | 1,230$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Sharks | 27c | 1,161$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.45 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 72c | 1,146$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 73c | 1,113$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.44 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sharks | 28c | 1,090$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Sharks | 22c | 1,050$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.87 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks | 28c | 928.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers | 75c | 800$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 71c | 781.83$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Oilers | 73c | 780.82$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks | 27c | 735.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Oilers | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 63c | 622.61$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Oilers | 71c | 600$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Sharks | 28c | 577.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sharks | 27c | 540$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Oilers | 73c | 498.41$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…97b0backed Sharks | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…c821backed Oilers | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Sharks | 27c | 348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…0657backed Oilers | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Oilers | 72c | 339.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Sharks | 28c | 221.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…5205backed Sharks | 28c | 195.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Sharks | 20c | 176.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…c797backed Sharks | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…bd65backed Oilers | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Oilers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…bb53backed Sharks | 28c | 140.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…a569backed Sharks | 29c | 139.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…ff08backed Sharks | 28c | 138.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Oilers | 73c | 137.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…4fe1backed Oilers | 71c | 125.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Sharks | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a81…25bcbacked Sharks | 28c | 102.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed Oilers | 74c | 100.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oilers | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Sharks | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Oilers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Oilers | 77c | 86.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…4da6backed Oilers | 73c | 86.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sharks | 15c | 86.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Oilers | 72c | 83.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Sharks | 28c | 75.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…b00abacked Sharks | 29c | 75.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…0c49backed Oilers | 73c | 75.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Oilers | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…6db3backed Oilers | 73c | 74.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Sharks | 30c | 74.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…c69ebacked Oilers | 73c | 72.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Oilers | 72c | 72.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…3d16backed Oilers | 74c | 71.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…1a4ebacked Oilers | 74c | 70.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669f…f6cfbacked Oilers | 73c | 70.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Oilers | 72c | 69.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…e098backed Sharks | 28c | 68.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…a4ecbacked Oilers | 73c | 68.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sharks | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…e908backed Oilers | 73c | 67.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…0d85backed Oilers | 72c | 65.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…c104backed Oilers | 73c | 65.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…c621backed Oilers | 73c | 65.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…866fbacked Sharks | 29c | 62.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 66c | 62.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Sharks | 33c | 60.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cd…f9f0backed Sharks | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Oilers | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Oilers | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Oilers | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Oilers | 73c | 54.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…8254backed Oilers | 73c | 53.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Oilers | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Oilers | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Oilers | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Sharks | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.