NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d5d38544da27f9d3e64930c5b168dc5f5d0a7eba99b3abc6aa476fdff95e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Suns | 1c | 85,903$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.56 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 6c | 45,723$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Suns | 21c | 30,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.98 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed Suns | 11c | 28,397$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 22c | 24,188$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Suns | 2c | 22,824$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.53 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 77c | 21,891$16,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.7 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Suns | 22c | 18,640$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.27 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 20c | 17,562$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.4 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Suns | 20c | 14,331$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.88 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Suns | 4c | 13,000$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Warriors | 77c | 12,987$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.01 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 75c | 12,563$9,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.76 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Suns | 25c | 11,858$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns | 1c | 11,188$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Suns | 21c | 10,170$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Suns | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 1c | 9,680$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 80c | 7,280$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…dba4backed Suns | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Warriors | 79c | 6,847$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.8 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 80c | 6,737$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.44 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Warriors | 79c | 5,110$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Warriors | 79c | 5,060$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 25c | 4,265$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 20c | 4,012$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.31 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Suns | 22c | 3,700$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Warriors | 80c | 3,595$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Suns | 8c | 3,375$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Suns | 4c | 3,124$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Warriors | 77c | 2,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.24 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Suns | 11c | 2,593$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Suns | 24c | 2,089$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Suns | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Warriors | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 19c | 1,738$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.24 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Suns | 19c | 1,660$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Suns | 11c | 1,432$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…5d50backed Suns | 1c | 1,430$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Suns | 24c | 1,324$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.86 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 80c | 1,241$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Suns | 9c | 1,215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Suns | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,003$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Suns | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Suns | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Suns | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns | 10c | 971.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 79c | 953$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.13 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 21c | 935.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Suns | 17c | 900$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 17c | 855.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Suns | 4c | 602.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Suns | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Suns | 24c | 598.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…a629backed Suns | 2c | 562.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Suns | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Suns | 23c | 483$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Suns | 18c | 422$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Suns | 18c | 422$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Warriors | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Warriors | 80c | 376.15$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Suns | 23c | 349.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Warriors | 79c | 334.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Suns | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Warriors | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Suns | 22c | 299.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Suns | 9c | 297.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…e09cbacked Suns | 21c | 267.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Warriors | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Suns | 24c | 256.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Warriors | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…60d1backed Warriors | 80c | 241.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Suns | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Warriors | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Suns | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Suns | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…7b57backed Suns | 25c | 172.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Suns | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 23c | 152.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Suns | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Warriors | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…7ca7backed Suns | 10c | 134.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors | 80c | 131.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Warriors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Warriors | 80c | 125.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Warriors | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458b…8ab5backed Suns | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Warriors | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9d1fbacked Suns | 23c | 121.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Suns | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.