NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b4e44f5a29e4540a1c1a4a2bce61384f4bea65cfe2974ca56760d863885644d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Magic | 65c | 14,703$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 37c | 10,708$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 63c | 8,899$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.7 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Spurs | 1c | 6,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 51c | 4,626$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.96 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Spurs | 49c | 4,603$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.4 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Magic | 62c | 4,518$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.99 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 43c | 4,351$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 66c | 4,153$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.94 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Spurs | 37c | 3,800$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.41 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs | 38c | 3,682$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.14 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 49c | 3,463$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.2 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs | 37c | 3,268$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.96 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 61c | 3,121$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.23 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Spurs | 34c | 2,995$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.78 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Magic | 45c | 2,911$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 55c | 2,186$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.78 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Magic | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Spurs | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Spurs | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Spurs | 4c | 1,865$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Magic | 66c | 1,833$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 61c | 1,770$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs | 39c | 1,763$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.48 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Magic | 63c | 1,620$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs | 36c | 1,464$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.45 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 62c | 1,371$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.97 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs | 35c | 1,351$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.97 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 66c | 1,280$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 37c | 1,280$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.91 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Spurs | 36c | 1,220$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 63c | 1,173$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Spurs | 38c | 1,106$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.27 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Spurs | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.27 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs | 2c | 955$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Magic | 51c | 930$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Spurs | 40c | 902.02$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.94 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs | 4c | 875.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Magic | 62c | 830.38$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.54 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Spurs | 43c | 813.45$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs | 37c | 807.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Spurs | 34c | 804$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Spurs | 68c | 771.83$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.93 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 64c | 749.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 58c | 725.47$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.82 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Spurs | 46c | 700.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Magic | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Spurs | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Magic | 61c | 600$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Magic | 64c | 582.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Magic | 48c | 580.19$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs | 38c | 571$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Spurs | 58c | 568.16$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.77 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Magic | 65c | 566.44$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Magic | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs | 38c | 499.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Magic | 61c | 499.85$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Magic | 42c | 479.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Magic | 58c | 472.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Magic | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 61c | 399.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Spurs | 36c | 386.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Spurs | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Spurs | 58c | 330.88$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Magic | 63c | 311$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Magic | 65c | 310.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Magic | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Magic | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Magic | 63c | 280.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Spurs | 56c | 280$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Spurs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Spurs | 38c | 262.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 38c | 260$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs | 48c | 253.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Spurs | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 38c | 242.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…ae70backed Magic | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Magic | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Spurs | 34c | 222$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Magic | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Magic | 63c | 218.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Spurs | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Magic | 61c | 209.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Spurs | 36c | 206.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Spurs | 37c | 205.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Magic | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked Magic | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Magic | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Magic | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Spurs | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Spurs | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.