NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556ea8af6a73fac7621ba408e083f9f6762db9c593ba9de40755d6f3c0f453de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $665,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 40c | 64,564$25,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,878.3 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 7c | 57,914$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.48 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Lakers | 52c | 38,000$19,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200.56 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 48c | 31,592$15,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,064.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 35c | 30,136$10,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,652.1 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 74c | 21,127$15,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,724.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 37c | 20,769$7,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,075.45 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Thunder | 12c | 20,000$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.42 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 11c | 18,239$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.33 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Thunder | 14c | 17,950$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Thunder | 71c | 16,674$11,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,902.46 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Thunder | 29c | 14,040$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.55 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 25c | 11,373$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,573.46 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 25c | 10,181$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.59 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 75c | 9,888$7,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,430.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 24c | 8,328$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,327.83 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 44c | 7,970$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.02 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Lakers | 25c | 6,307$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Lakers | 25c | 5,450$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.24 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 75c | 5,262$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.07 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Thunder | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lakers | 74c | 4,822$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.47 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 75c | 4,772$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.37 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Lakers | 24c | 4,205$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.87 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Thunder | 1c | 4,147$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 45c | 4,068$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 24c | 4,058$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.05 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 26c | 3,900$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.98 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Thunder | 75c | 3,600$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 25c | 3,589$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.21 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Thunder | 37c | 3,517$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Thunder | 21c | 3,350$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.35 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 76c | 3,336$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.6 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 44c | 2,978$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.53 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Thunder | 71c | 2,719$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.16 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder | 9c | 2,684$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.37 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Thunder | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers | 39c | 2,579$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.59 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 32c | 2,575$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.65 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Thunder | 18c | 2,220$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,180$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.69 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Lakers | 67c | 2,088$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.62 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Thunder | 24c | 2,050$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.49 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lakers | 23c | 2,033$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.93 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Thunder | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Thunder | 1c | 1,815$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 72c | 1,805$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.36 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 3c | 1,700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Thunder | 1c | 1,670$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 75c | 1,500$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Thunder | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Lakers | 24c | 1,480$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder | 75c | 1,306$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,240$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.9 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Lakers | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Thunder | 21c | 1,189$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Thunder | 75c | 1,133$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 24c | 1,110$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.27 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Lakers | 59c | 1,046$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 74c | 1,010$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Lakers | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder | 75c | 942.28$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.71 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 44c | 908.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.58 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 75c | 842.37$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.93 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Thunder | 77c | 827.27$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…0e84backed Lakers | 66c | 784.37$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Thunder | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Thunder | 10c | 748.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Lakers | 27c | 738.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.79 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Lakers | 57c | 726.95$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Thunder | 75c | 650.67$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Thunder | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…fae5backed Thunder | 35c | 600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Thunder | 57c | 587.16$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.33 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lakers | 25c | 564$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Thunder | 76c | 500$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Lakers | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Thunder | 74c | 498.23$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.69 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Thunder | 75c | 494.2$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.65 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 32c | 471.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.74 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Lakers | 22c | 467$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.26 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Lakers | 78c | 441.24$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Thunder | 75c | 440$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…de42backed Lakers | 24c | 420.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Lakers | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Thunder | 67c | 415.67$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.32 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 27c | 408.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.01 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Lakers | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Lakers | 25c | 392.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 26c | 389.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Lakers | 45c | 366.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Thunder | 64c | 344.3$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.