TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Utah43c40,471$17,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,907.1136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Stars55c33,214$18,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,235.388749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Stars55c11,286$6,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,207.292437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah41c6,408$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,798.191,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Stars68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4005858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars63c4,017$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.131,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Utah45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20016645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars56c3,977$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.2824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah43c3,613$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.7792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Stars34c2,482$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah37c2,481$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.111,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed Stars62c1,652$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Utah64c1,651$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4817448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac3…f3b0backed Stars55c1,650$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…8f37backed Utah38c1,650$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe425…6155backed Utah45c1,650$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Stars63c1,594$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars59c1,428$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.291,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah40c1,287$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.273,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Stars57c1,284$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.356850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Stars55c1,175$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaf…1aaebacked Utah45c1,175$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Utah69c1,144$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.998345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars63c1,111$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.931,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars63c1,100$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars57c1,000$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Utah41c922$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Utah40c900$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54035349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars24c846.46$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.881,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars36c835.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Utah75c813.92$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.162657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars57c742.25$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Utah72c612.83$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.594751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Stars33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah46c520$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Stars52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Stars58c479.42$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6428440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah40c472$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Stars63c462.69$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4929748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Utah70c400$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Stars18c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Utah37c349.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4620649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Stars57c336$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Stars60c317.27$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Stars5c310$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Stars33c302.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.744158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Utah69c299.77$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9310127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Utah56c274.09$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.785754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Utah30c272.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bc…73b7backed Stars53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Stars63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Stars14c213.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2929319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Stars58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11627643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Stars62c189.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.792763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Stars60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.427644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc471…72a3backed Stars63c161.9$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d42…ed7abacked Stars55c161.64$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-42.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xed25…b674backed Utah39c161.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars63c159.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…eda0backed Utah38c155$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc953…0a2abacked Stars62c155$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7ceabacked Utah37c155$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.651464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7a…b24cbacked Stars63c154.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.651020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Utah38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Stars63c147$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6120861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Stars62c143$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.668932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Utah44c141.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7919848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2e…61a8backed Utah38c139.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.491060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7b…3558backed Utah46c128.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Utah39c127.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8860741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41fd…3c0fbacked Utah46c125.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.861855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6baa…7b57backed Utah46c123.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…79e0backed Stars55c121.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.052055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a5…b52dbacked Utah44c119.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5716…d9ebbacked Utah43c117.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…1520backed Utah43c112.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff63…9b45backed Stars64c111$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064f…b09abacked Utah36c111$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Stars56c108.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1610546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc35…740abacked Utah36c107$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…3ff9backed Stars64c107$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Stars32c102.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.898451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0313…fcbdbacked Utah46c101.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Stars55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5535154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Utah39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars62c99.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cd3…af0ebacked Stars57c98.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3b…08a3backed Stars55c95.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8b…3338backed Stars55c88.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bb7…bf7cbacked Stars56c87.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf19…8dcebacked Stars58c87.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…0444backed Stars63c87.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e75…a01cbacked Stars58c83.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.641010%1 W · 9 L-4.7wins-0.47per pick57cpaid-85.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa415…c2d8backed Stars58c81.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcef…d740backed Stars63c80.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Stars62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.