TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No24c4,871$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.583,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c4,113$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No74c3,396$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.564856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c1,979$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.231,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c1,608$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.774,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c1,319$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c1,246$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c1,164$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.5958548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c1,002$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.451,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes28c999.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.999443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No72c831.54$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.7110760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c799.88$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…09c7backed Yes66c637.06$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No52c453.84$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No72c445.08$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No14c436.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes27c382.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2137829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c380.53$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No33c380.09$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9313642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No27c378.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5726641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No64c361.97$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.049561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.413426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes29c300.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.852934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes29c247.6$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.823152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c226.25$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.91,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1469641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c189.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.115344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569f…0056backed Yes28c186.06$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c185.45$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.037838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes29c172.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4320630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes48c169.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed No66c168.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.396643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ce…a0aebacked Yes77c121.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…8d8dbacked Yes37c117.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No39c106.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9315442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No71c99.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.986762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.327946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.324126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No72c98.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7917859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c95.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes27c95.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.823850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No72c88.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7110561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No72c88.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.719861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No71c85.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0510062%62 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed No66c84.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.432853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes29c82.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No72c81.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.992263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c80.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0314574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No37c78.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7418956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No72c74.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.391838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes67c73.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.037853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes29c70.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.32931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No72c70.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c70.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c68.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c66.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8816341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No72c62.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.823253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cf…d9a0backed Yes43c59.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No72c58.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.476165.6%40 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No52c56.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3310127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1612958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Yes28c51.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb0…30d3backed No72c50.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c50.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4741323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Yes29c48.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c48.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e7…68d2backed No72c47.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c45.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes44c44.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.963151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No59c44.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes29c42.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.471421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No64c42.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.945738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca7…7020backed Yes47c40.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No75c39.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.551668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed Yes29c36.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2996…7571backed No34c33.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94aa…975abacked No61c33.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No71c31.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5759655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.622360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes75c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.923751.4%19 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No74c19.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.577273.6%53 W · 19 L+0.3wins0.00per pick73cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc779…a904backed No72c19.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c18.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed No72c14.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.