TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2996…7571

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$6.54
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi Youbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Brazzaville: Reda Bennani vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.41
Ostrava: Nerman Fatic vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$5.33
Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngoldbacked Diletta Cherubini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$4.27
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$7.71
Jiujiang: Ognjen Milic vs Renta Tokudabacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$8.06
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Mabacked Wushuang Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$7.43
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.07
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$9.02
Santa Cruz: Ryan Dickerson vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$5.42
Tallahassee: Cannon Kingsley vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$6.77
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+183%+$32.28
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$13.37
Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellisbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$12.06
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+289%+$35.05
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Clement Chidekhbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+86%+$10.76
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Vera Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$12.03
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$16.48
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$4.47
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$18.78
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+179.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+240.9%+$24.48
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$11.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$4.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$11.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$3.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.