Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf760dc5efb712e991a5d514f4625879c1a15760a22d94b1e324a7982e9ddeaf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,150$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 17c | 2,400$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,730$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 6c | 1,364$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 45c | 1,104$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.81 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 53c | 807.65$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.59 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 620.41$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.55 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Yes | 59c | 600$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 582.37$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…d0aabacked Yes | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 51c | 444.43$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 45c | 439.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.52 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 49c | 379.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 233.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed No | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 211.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 54c | 208.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 198.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…24b0backed Yes | 51c | 195.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 9c | 158.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 131.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 59c | 112.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Yes | 28c | 100.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 58c | 89.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 51c | 74.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 66.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 51c | 59.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 68c | 55.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 53.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed No | 47c | 52.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…6759backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…75d7backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 50c | 41.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…0fd1backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed No | 55c | 39.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…679dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 42c | 35.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…7571backed Yes | 52c | 30.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…471bbacked Yes | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 22.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.