Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe8f408cfb4bf1712d2d8e0fe7ac8f1df9f1fee367899dfb08da2b9de0d0fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 78c | 3,112$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.74 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,907$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.54 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 1,214$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.18 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 1,006$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 78c | 921.83$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 37c | 843.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 568.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 485.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 429.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 52c | 380.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 67c | 350.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 320.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 313$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 297.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 26c | 295$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 70c | 286.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…6759backed Yes | 28c | 279.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 259.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 207.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 73c | 200.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 79c | 186.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 21c | 186.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 72c | 175.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked No | 20c | 167$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 151.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 40c | 145.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 144.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 31c | 132.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 128.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 124.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 122.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 78c | 108.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 73c | 90.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 86.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 79.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…471bbacked Yes | 45c | 61.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 38c | 61.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 69c | 52.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 50.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 63c | 34.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…4d3dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 37c | 28.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 26.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 66c | 26.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 54c | 22.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 58c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 77c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.