TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blake Ellisof Linang Xiao, Blake Ellis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Blake Ellis29c17,668$5,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,464.268,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Linang Xiao68c12,228$8,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,329.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Linang Xiao50c7,574$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.894124.4%10 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Blake Ellis47c6,807$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.8529241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Blake Ellis43c5,242$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.472,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Linang Xiao60c4,941$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.6627931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Blake Ellis39c2,467$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.881,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Blake Ellis42c2,216$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.125,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11c…e96fbacked Linang Xiao71c2,063$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Linang Xiao62c1,905$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.3216242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Blake Ellis48c1,890$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.172,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Blake Ellis75c1,601$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.74971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Linang Xiao52c1,546$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.7623653.4%126 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Linang Xiao27c1,534$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.263,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Blake Ellis71c1,469$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.661,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Linang Xiao53c1,407$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.374,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Blake Ellis72c1,348$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.465066%33 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blake Ellis46c1,341$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.683,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Linang Xiao29c1,325$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9329444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Linang Xiao57c1,258$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.3865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Linang Xiao58c1,250$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.1933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Linang Xiao27c1,232$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3158232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Blake Ellis55c1,182$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.044,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Linang Xiao44c1,118$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.744,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Blake Ellis47c1,091$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.636944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Blake Ellis45c1,078$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.6922465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Linang Xiao54c1,063$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.196,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Blake Ellis46c996.17$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.8540548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Linang Xiao62c799.42$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.546,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e71…f347backed Blake Ellis43c783.29$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.422050%10 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Linang Xiao54c765.28$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2512235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Linang Xiao51c744.62$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.24252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Blake Ellis35c742.05$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.331,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Linang Xiao56c726.35$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7817262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Linang Xiao57c678.58$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.861,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Linang Xiao59c653.71$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5715850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…d31cbacked Linang Xiao56c605.41$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Blake Ellis50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f8…7bb0backed Linang Xiao56c546.4$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.651573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blake Ellis45c539.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.489,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Linang Xiao55c520.18$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6348453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Blake Ellis73c505.38$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.459556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Linang Xiao80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Blake Ellis72c499.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13830857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Blake Ellis61c499.93$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4431656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Blake Ellis71c498.6$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5939534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Linang Xiao53c481.62$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.231,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Linang Xiao37c457.41$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.486,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Linang Xiao28c427.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Blake Ellis52c423.37$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6319443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Blake Ellis56c408.34$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.852155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Linang Xiao49c403.34$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.644,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4899…9db1backed Blake Ellis73c396.47$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd935…6029backed Linang Xiao28c385.59$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Blake Ellis73c384.24$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.824584.4%38 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Blake Ellis74c382.93$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5655660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Blake Ellis51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.516258.1%36 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Linang Xiao27c379.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4729230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Linang Xiao60c375.26$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2950156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Linang Xiao27c372.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Linang Xiao71c367.9$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3729652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Blake Ellis44c357.94$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.946,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Linang Xiao58c348.44$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6818459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blake Ellis72c346.52$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Linang Xiao52c329.89$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Linang Xiao31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861010%1 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick44cpaid-78%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Blake Ellis30c304.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4960158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Linang Xiao52c286.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3113456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Linang Xiao58c285.81$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9823457.3%134 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Linang Xiao26c280.75$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3510646.2%49 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Blake Ellis73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7771165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd0…389fbacked Blake Ellis73c268.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Blake Ellis45c258.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3528762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Linang Xiao56c255.62$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8712359.3%73 W · 50 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Blake Ellis48c249.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8860355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Blake Ellis39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.691,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Linang Xiao58c239.62$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.554,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Blake Ellis65c222.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9865346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe627…ac15backed Linang Xiao62c222.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Linang Xiao73c217.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5510150.5%51 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Blake Ellis73c216.44$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.443844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Blake Ellis50c215.43$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7641544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Linang Xiao68c215.41$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…072cbacked Blake Ellis72c205.62$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.165464.8%35 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Linang Xiao26c195.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.792,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Linang Xiao28c191.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5858639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Blake Ellis47c186.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Linang Xiao56c181.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.391,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Blake Ellis72c177$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5638955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Linang Xiao55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+46.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Blake Ellis73c174.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0212361%75 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Linang Xiao58c166.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5117359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Blake Ellis73c161.08$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0316370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blake Ellis56c158.96$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.357,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Blake Ellis73c154.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8535268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Linang Xiao52c154.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3340048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Linang Xiao28c154.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.331,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d475backed Blake Ellis54c151.44$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.662268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Blake Ellis49c141.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.572,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Linang Xiao52c139.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7530555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.