Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava: Nerman Fatic vs Jack Pinnington Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e8ea65b21fee492c55d4220a1201f03dd33f3987593bdaa9c448f3faa2cfe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nerman Faticof Nerman Fatic, Jack Pinnington Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 36c | 6,973$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nerman Fatic | 60c | 5,886$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 13c | 2,200$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nerman Fatic | 69c | 1,089$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Nerman Fatic | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.4 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 53c | 897.71$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.73 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 48c | 821.75$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 37c | 499.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Nerman Fatic | 65c | 475$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Nerman Fatic | 69c | 394.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 51c | 380.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 15c | 366.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 56c | 357.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 19c | 349.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nerman Fatic | 64c | 305.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nerman Fatic | 52c | 273.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Nerman Fatic | 46c | 230.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nerman Fatic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nerman Fatic | 69c | 181.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 28c | 157.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 38c | 145.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Nerman Fatic | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Nerman Fatic | 69c | 118.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 15c | 117.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 50c | 111.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Nerman Fatic | 48c | 108.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 30c | 103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Nerman Fatic | 47c | 102.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 220 | 49.5%109 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Nerman Fatic | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Nerman Fatic | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nerman Fatic | 55c | 98.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 32c | 95.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 31c | 91.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nerman Fatic | 48c | 90.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 28c | 76.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 31c | 74.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 51c | 74.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Nerman Fatic | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Nerman Fatic | 46c | 63.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nerman Fatic | 47c | 62.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nerman Fatic | 46c | 60.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Nerman Fatic | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…b707backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nerman Fatic | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nerman Fatic | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nerman Fatic | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Nerman Fatic | 49c | 42.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 53c | 42.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Nerman Fatic | 73c | 41.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Nerman Fatic | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Nerman Fatic | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Nerman Fatic | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Jack Pinnington Jones | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jack Pinnington Jones | 53c | 33.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…039dbacked Nerman Fatic | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfd…5909backed Nerman Fatic | 61c | 28.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Nerman Fatic | 48c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…7571backed Nerman Fatic | 74c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.