TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi You

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xiaodi Youof Heather Watson, Xiaodi You
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbba9…f183backed Heather Watson24c37,501$9,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,085.383522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xiaodi You75c9,557$7,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.712,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf03…5b17backed Heather Watson1c9,114$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723537.1%13 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heather Watson10c6,276$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.547,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Heather Watson51c5,833$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.8248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heather Watson17c4,684$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.539,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Xiaodi You75c3,662$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.866,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Xiaodi You71c3,525$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.186336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xiaodi You38c3,341$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.4154345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xiaodi You63c3,022$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Heather Watson24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72019835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Heather Watson9c2,775$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4557447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Xiaodi You62c2,040$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.4812146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Xiaodi You74c1,853$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2994140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Heather Watson27c1,698$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.653943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Xiaodi You59c1,677$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.0479855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Xiaodi You44c1,655$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.071,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed Xiaodi You44c1,430$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.345658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Heather Watson26c1,176$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31030225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Xiaodi You56c1,103$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.6680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Xiaodi You31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69016242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xiaodi You32c910.09$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.075,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Heather Watson57c769.83$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.81,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Heather Watson5c728.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.878038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Xiaodi You37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6813147.3%62 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Xiaodi You67c630.05$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.955,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Xiaodi You60c617.21$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2121560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Xiaodi You45c602.52$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9930744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Xiaodi You36c588.49$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1230436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Heather Watson21c574.51$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8384640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Heather Watson34c570$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.81741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Heather Watson27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xiaodi You40c532.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.133,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Heather Watson60c515.38$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2378452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Xiaodi You42c464.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8522337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Xiaodi You65c443.17$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.14,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Heather Watson58c415.52$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24130649.7%152 W · 154 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Xiaodi You71c414.01$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0611158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Heather Watson22c372.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.253,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2445…ff62backed Xiaodi You68c370$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…cb59backed Heather Watson7c326.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.582119%4 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-68.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Xiaodi You76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Heather Watson41c287.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.731,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Heather Watson4c274.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Xiaodi You36c267.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.141,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0625…96babacked Xiaodi You74c264.28$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.852737%10 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Xiaodi You35c258.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.731,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Xiaodi You76c244.33$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0648756.5%275 W · 212 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Heather Watson65c244.25$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.524,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Xiaodi You44c235.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6921641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Heather Watson56c234$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.047,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Heather Watson27c230.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1942141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…a7dbbacked Heather Watson44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed Heather Watson6c222.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0913232.6%43 W · 89 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Heather Watson13c220.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.012,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Heather Watson44c213.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9524463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Xiaodi You66c212.59$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6347234.7%164 W · 308 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Heather Watson7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8929519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Xiaodi You42c196.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.198055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Xiaodi You74c195.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.818666.3%57 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Heather Watson59c190.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11251339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Heather Watson27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Xiaodi You54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Xiaodi You41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.234549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Heather Watson57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heather Watson34c170.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.588,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Xiaodi You65c168.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3216258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Heather Watson23c163.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.211,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Xiaodi You78c160.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Heather Watson57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Heather Watson56c148.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Xiaodi You62c141.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.891,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Xiaodi You76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Heather Watson24c128.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9528322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Heather Watson59c125.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.167852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b06…a18bbacked Xiaodi You78c118.55$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Heather Watson36c117.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9615332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Xiaodi You79c115.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5232853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Heather Watson61c114.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036964.2%237 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Xiaodi You68c111.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.111,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Xiaodi You46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Heather Watson63c105.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.325763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Heather Watson57c104.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.291,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Heather Watson37c103.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.281,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Heather Watson16c101.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300a…4c94backed Heather Watson39c100.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Xiaodi You40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Heather Watson56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Heather Watson51c97.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6232333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe80…c22ebacked Xiaodi You73c96.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.452065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heather Watson48c89.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.267,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Xiaodi You75c80.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.415758.6%92 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c66…db89backed Heather Watson24c72.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Heather Watson57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Xiaodi You77c63.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4191880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Heather Watson57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Xiaodi You75c60.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.84,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Xiaodi You48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Xiaodi You44c56.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.781770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Xiaodi You35c56.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4431563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.