TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe80…c22e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$62.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Zhuoxuan Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$13.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Brazzaville: Iiro Vasa vs Franco Riberobacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Jay Clarkebacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$26.45
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zhuoxuan Baibacked Zhuoxuan Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$18.1
Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$60.06
Wuxi: Maximus Jones vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$45.75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$37.29
Brazzaville: Matyas Cerny vs Bor Artnakbacked Matyas Cerny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlekbacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$17.83
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.26
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.