Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zhuoxuan Bai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2103a6f220e7eb7289e38f680fcf1bd6b1472144b7304dc5a0f4e71dff632e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhuoxuan Baiof Lizette Cabrera, Zhuoxuan Bai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lizette Cabrera | 32c | 4,220$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.04 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 3,568$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 3,267$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.43 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 73c | 2,998$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.46 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lizette Cabrera | 29c | 2,962$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.46 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lizette Cabrera | 29c | 2,955$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.01 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 30c | 1,602$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.91 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 1,280$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 8c | 857.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lizette Cabrera | 13c | 676.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 634.21$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.73 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lizette Cabrera | 10c | 509.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lizette Cabrera | 23c | 457.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Lizette Cabrera | 3c | 429.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 387.03$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 66c | 333.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Lizette Cabrera | 27c | 319.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 286.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Lizette Cabrera | 23c | 283$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 74c | 271.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Lizette Cabrera | 14c | 268.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 72c | 263.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 69c | 262.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lizette Cabrera | 30c | 223.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Lizette Cabrera | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 209.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 71c | 184.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lizette Cabrera | 13c | 162.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Lizette Cabrera | 22c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Lizette Cabrera | 17c | 146.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 75c | 143.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lizette Cabrera | 7c | 139.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 29c | 122.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 111.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Lizette Cabrera | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 23c | 86.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lizette Cabrera | 15c | 83.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…bb55backed Lizette Cabrera | 14c | 80.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…c22ebacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 75c | 71.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 77c | 63.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 58.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Lizette Cabrera | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 69c | 47.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 76c | 41.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 40.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 69c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 78c | 33.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 69c | 31.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 330 | 65.8%217 W · 113 L | +25.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…5de1backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 79c | 21.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 66c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 78c | 17.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 163 | 72.4%118 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 71c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 68c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 391 | 54.2%212 W · 179 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 78c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…7594backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Zhuoxuan Bai | 75c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.