Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16cca82b29b70447e6032a3588102e0c3d955e1889a49bc8044eaa6e06a97430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 52c | 2,392$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 33c | 2,287$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.77 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 59c | 2,156$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.82 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 1,726$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.93 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 1,580$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,266$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.17 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed No | 49c | 1,056$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Yes | 59c | 1,055$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 46c | 840.43$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.23 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 59c | 822.15$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 57c | 589.11$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 428.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 48c | 412.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 52c | 408.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 74c | 405.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 76c | 395.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 40c | 391.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 60c | 369$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 74c | 367.29$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 75c | 296$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 25c | 265.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 241.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 46c | 237.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 235.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 196.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 46c | 189.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 78c | 167.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 37c | 165.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 161.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 43c | 154.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 145.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 142$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed No | 49c | 137.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 77c | 129.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 29c | 124$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 60c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 57c | 112.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 112.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…25c3backed Yes | 68c | 105.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 46c | 99.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 21c | 71.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 22c | 70.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 73c | 65.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe80…c22ebacked Yes | 53c | 63.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 44c | 61.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 61c | 60.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 63c | 58.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 55.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…2462backed Yes | 75c | 53.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 44.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…d5d8backed Yes | 47c | 40.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…5ca1backed No | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 77c | 33.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…026abacked Yes | 61c | 31.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 31.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 64c | 31.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 74c | 29.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 67c | 29.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed Yes | 75c | 20.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…02d8backed Yes | 53c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 68c | 17.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Yes | 75c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.