Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2217d79eef1e8392f826a3bbcc5c6a58f9c057628a39f4db14af1c204e0d644a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 547.83$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 429.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 71c | 380$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 313.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 288.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 71c | 280.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 74c | 280.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 27c | 267.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 23c | 264$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 19c | 257.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 71c | 234.68$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 206$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 27c | 182.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 30c | 164$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 144.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 116$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 116$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 110.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 30c | 96.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 89.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Yes | 31c | 88.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 77c | 68.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 51.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 49.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 47.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 80c | 19.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.