TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d01…2462

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yaobacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$33.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Set 1 Winner: Colson vs Hernandezbacked Colson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.49
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.52
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heidebacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.67
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulicbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+288.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+526.1%+$78.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$13.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$7.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.