MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf69eee42bb962c703a72a6e448c1a73217e1d45556b5df6ac66551314f5e7999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Kansas City Royals, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $946,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 130,000$68,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,699.93 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 111,489$53,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,741.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 34,584$15,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,391.14 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 25,635$13,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730.07 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 23,092$11,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,252.42 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 21,850$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,393.24 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 15,844$8,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,144.61 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 15,474$7,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,696.53 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…2c49backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 12,464$7,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 10,305$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.94 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 9,890$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.71 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 9,876$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.55 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 9,724$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 8,077$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.12 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 7,874$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.09 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 7,180$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.1 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 6,160$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.75 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 5,929$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.61 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 5,607$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.03 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 5,376$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.02 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,135$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 5,131$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.52 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 4,908$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.4 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 4,835$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 4,815$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.31 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 4,673$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 4,492$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 4,124$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.44 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 3,776$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 5cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,288$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.83 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 3,231$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.38 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,967$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 2,942$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.24 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 2,932$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,755$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.26 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 2,746$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.2 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 2,712$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.57 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 2,601$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 2,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,481$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 2,166$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 2,105$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.02 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,004$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,997$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.74 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,945$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.25 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,789$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.46 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,692$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.96 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…cc62backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,648$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,564$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,532$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,513$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.19 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,444$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.34 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 1,224$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,210$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,186$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,122$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 1,115$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,093$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,078$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.8 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…9a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,023$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…c44ebacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…78cebacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 987.71$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.94 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 977.8$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 964.61$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.77 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 964.61$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.77 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.73 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 880.63$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.38 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 823.42$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 803.66$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.27 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 786.87$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 753.31$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 742.24$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…cad0backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 723$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 721.81$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 702.8$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.97 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 700$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 687.84$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.17 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 682.58$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.81 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 678.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.49 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 668.97$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.76 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 637.86$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.8 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 623.72$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208b…9613backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 620.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.