MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04fbcc53f283b39d54cb722ce0fa5eb58e313043c492cf948ebb4a9968dc55d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,215,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,699,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 55c | 484,770$267,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,444.58 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 45c | 150,000$67,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,999.95 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 59c | 80,984$47,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,117.36 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 41c | 60,000$24,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,899.93 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 39c | 52,859$20,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,846.48 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 51,584$23,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,169.09 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 43c | 48,990$21,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,065.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 45,828$22,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,938.71 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 29,102$12,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,592.38 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 41c | 18,888$7,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744.08 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 15,651$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,804.27 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 49c | 14,698$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 60c | 14,251$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.9 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 47c | 5,325$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.8 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 69c | 5,140$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.81 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Over | 46c | 5,104$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.89 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 4,896$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.96 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 44c | 4,788$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.83 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 55c | 4,338$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.12 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 3,453$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Over | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,280$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Over | 48c | 1,997$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.52 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Over | 43c | 1,877$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Over | 51c | 1,404$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 53c | 1,400$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 64c | 1,317$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.12 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 48c | 1,313$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.81 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 1,310$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.25 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Over | 44c | 1,157$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 43c | 1,112$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.04 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…5ae5backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 37c | 939.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.24 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 902.62$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.62 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 59c | 847.46$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 793.73$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 58c | 793.73$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 58c | 793.73$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 793.73$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 58c | 793.73$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Over | 38c | 777.66$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Over | 43c | 774.63$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 54c | 763.33$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 704.46$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.29 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 58c | 673.04$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 648.87$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 40c | 593.04$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 57c | 554.32$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 53c | 550.07$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 51c | 547.27$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Over | 44c | 545.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 44c | 524.36$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 69c | 521.35$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Under | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 58c | 504.97$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 35c | 425.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 352.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.34 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 58c | 336.9$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 50c | 317.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 58c | 317.47$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 58c | 253.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 252.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 42c | 237.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 44c | 220.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 55c | 212.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 76c | 195.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…6cb7backed Over | 27c | 192.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…020dbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 186.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 50c | 177.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 176.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 58c | 171$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 58c | 168.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 45c | 165.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 51c | 158.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 154.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 59c | 152.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Under | 57c | 145.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 47c | 139.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 55c | 134.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 56c | 121.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 49c | 118$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.