TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Daniel Dutra da Silva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yibing Wuof Yibing Wu, Daniel Dutra da Silva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9412…b9ebbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva19c7,801$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.212917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Daniel Dutra da Silva21c3,903$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.871,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yibing Wu79c3,443$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.9237741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva18c2,934$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva15c2,846$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.855339.6%21 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Yibing Wu80c2,196$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.229952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva23c1,923$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.894520%9 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Daniel Dutra da Silva16c1,918$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9126545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daniel Dutra da Silva9c1,692$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.465,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva25c1,546$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.549645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva10c1,215$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva23c1,200$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Daniel Dutra da Silva22c1,100$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva18c1,010$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.832247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Yibing Wu75c985$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2517357.8%100 W · 73 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Daniel Dutra da Silva10c975.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.661217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Daniel Dutra da Silva10c944.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.621720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Daniel Dutra da Silva12c923.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.964119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva6c707.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.342,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva15c667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.057,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Dutra da Silva9c640.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.524,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Dutra da Silva10c556.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.546,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva7c539.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.771,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Dutra da Silva9c533.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.813,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Daniel Dutra da Silva15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yibing Wu78c451.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.051,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3927936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Daniel Dutra da Silva10c359.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Daniel Dutra da Silva13c337.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5840548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d01…2462backed Daniel Dutra da Silva22c314.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.521442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva14c307.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5819851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2881…e7a6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Daniel Dutra da Silva12c288.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6973549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva6c240.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4316029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva19c215.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9162534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva14c214.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0511945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yibing Wu79c201.51$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva27c189.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.150%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Daniel Dutra da Silva16c183.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4415512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva16c170.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.053429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva17c170.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9819344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva18c152.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3829230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Daniel Dutra da Silva17c139.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.767243.1%31 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Daniel Dutra da Silva10c131.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.741,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x6173…f49abacked Yibing Wu75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.833063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Yibing Wu80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2689364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva17c123.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6250644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yibing Wu72c118.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0740161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Daniel Dutra da Silva10c114.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.359744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Daniel Dutra da Silva17c111.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.936033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva15c103$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4595140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yibing Wu73c100.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6220664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f56…9df8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva13c96.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-64.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Dutra da Silva18c95.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x95d3…b2aebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva16c77.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.343545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f1…0e04backed Daniel Dutra da Silva16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yibing Wu73c74.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0169253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yibing Wu77c72.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7981255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yibing Wu77c62.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4317655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Yibing Wu73c54.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6122963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Daniel Dutra da Silva27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Yibing Wu78c41$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yibing Wu77c37.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.542,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yibing Wu78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9265264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Yibing Wu75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3318478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Yibing Wu80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Yibing Wu79c28.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0117761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Yibing Wu73c28.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.715146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Yibing Wu72c18.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2389859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26d…039fbacked Yibing Wu75c15.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.765170.6%36 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.