TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Xiaodi You

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xiaodi Youof Xinxin Yao, Xiaodi You
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,697

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Xinxin Yao57c59,118$33,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,911.0413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Xiaodi You41c31,108$12,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,355.298,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Xiaodi You53c13,442$7,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,332.3193740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Xiaodi You57c10,453$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.4248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Xinxin Yao45c8,516$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,790.1412146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Xiaodi You53c4,728$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.297,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Xinxin Yao73c4,339$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.671872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Xinxin Yao37c3,903$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Xiaodi You34c2,942$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.0679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Xinxin Yao66c2,539$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.8314264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Xinxin Yao38c2,474$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.144,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Xinxin Yao44c2,337$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03721244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Xinxin Yao42c2,290$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xinxin Yao40c2,111$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.2111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Xiaodi You57c1,933$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.4933556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Xinxin Yao45c1,786$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.741,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Xinxin Yao37c1,764$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8630436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Xinxin Yao27c1,705$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7461924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Xiaodi You65c1,630$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.074,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Xiaodi You56c1,485$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.391,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Xiaodi You49c1,313$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.943,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xiaodi You47c1,267$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.752,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Xinxin Yao36c1,220$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.3353843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Xinxin Yao32c1,104$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.936,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Xinxin Yao39c1,038$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.631,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Xiaodi You55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45041060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Xiaodi You68c983.91$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.694,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Xiaodi You66c843.65$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.766,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Xinxin Yao39c764.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Xiaodi You62c724.71$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.721,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Xinxin Yao29c702.13$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0220949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Xinxin Yao15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bba…49babacked Xiaodi You27c658.45$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.852030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Xinxin Yao68c645.56$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.936058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Xinxin Yao31c600.02$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18645445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Xinxin Yao46c594.35$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.442934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Xiaodi You59c588.47$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4443062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Xiaodi You63c556.83$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.831,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Xiaodi You52c546.25$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.932227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x018b…5372backed Xinxin Yao56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006662.1%41 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Xiaodi You36c535.58$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.7822248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8b…ce68backed Xinxin Yao32c521.88$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Xiaodi You43c521.74$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3927148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc407…0875backed Xiaodi You49c517.61$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Xiaodi You47c515.14$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.142,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Xinxin Yao26c486.31$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.625,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Xinxin Yao69c468$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9247956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Xinxin Yao29c460.36$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8918445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Xiaodi You57c411$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7234847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Xiaodi You57c406$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7159253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Xinxin Yao37c391.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.730150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Xinxin Yao34c389.19$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9127231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Xinxin Yao44c386.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017654.5%96 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Xiaodi You75c380$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4464065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Xinxin Yao6c333.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.630931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Xiaodi You67c332.93$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2480341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Xinxin Yao63c318.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018557.8%107 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Xiaodi You66c316.57$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.572937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34eb…eabbbacked Xiaodi You72c315.43$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Xiaodi You51c307.89$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.273,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Xinxin Yao22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6644038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Xiaodi You67c297.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.335164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Xinxin Yao42c271.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.354,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Xinxin Yao37c269.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5911632.8%38 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Xiaodi You50c267.91$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Xinxin Yao38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Xinxin Yao48c248.83$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.346933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0856…ecc5backed Xiaodi You55c243.64$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.643647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Xiaodi You53c241.07$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.445354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed Xinxin Yao48c239.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Xiaodi You57c234.64$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.788235.4%29 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Xinxin Yao54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Xinxin Yao14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Xinxin Yao19c211.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Xinxin Yao7c192.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.265632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xiaodi You46c192.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.897,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Xinxin Yao45c180.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.324,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Xiaodi You45c176.62$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4318152.5%95 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Xinxin Yao54c171.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.011,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Xinxin Yao13c161.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.641,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Xinxin Yao66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…3e5bbacked Xinxin Yao69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e3…0d34backed Xinxin Yao39c141.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Xiaodi You35c140.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0917138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe80…c22ebacked Xinxin Yao65c138.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902065%13 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Xinxin Yao55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7553655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Xiaodi You44c135$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.31,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc327…a208backed Xinxin Yao66c134.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.22025%5 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Xiaodi You76c129$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Xinxin Yao28c126.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.621,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Xinxin Yao43c120.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Xinxin Yao65c115.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Xinxin Yao36c112.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9315040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Xinxin Yao48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Xinxin Yao66c103.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.492445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Xinxin Yao37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Xinxin Yao36c99.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9931841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Xinxin Yao46c98.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8537235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Xinxin Yao48c93.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Xiaodi You32c92.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.112744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.