Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5cb6b5f4fec1e88f124e1f477f0683914f613c62d0067f3e62304489886286d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Arnaldiof Alex de Minaur, Matteo Arnaldi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex de Minaur | 44c | 34,252$15,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,098.3 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 29,107$8,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,535.94 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 28,501$11,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,363.42 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 66c | 22,765$15,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,737.43 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Alex de Minaur | 65c | 21,500$14,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,069.32 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 20,657$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,666.38 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 20,603$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,988.98 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Alex de Minaur | 67c | 20,056$13,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,385.83 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Alex de Minaur | 69c | 17,195$11,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,851.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alex de Minaur | 65c | 15,280$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 12,509$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.55 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Alex de Minaur | 72c | 12,252$8,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,866.08 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 11,154$7,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.76 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Alex de Minaur | 65c | 10,266$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.26 | 272 | 48.2%131 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 10,033$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.56 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 9,337$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.04 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 8,718$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.27 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Alex de Minaur | 60c | 8,326$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 8,118$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,390.3 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 7,691$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.97 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Alex de Minaur | 69c | 6,525$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.28 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…f9c5backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 6,446$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Matteo Arnaldi | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alex de Minaur | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 4,782$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 4,326$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.11 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 43c | 4,146$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.35 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 3,448$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.18 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 3,259$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.85 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…b1b1backed Alex de Minaur | 16c | 3,178$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 3,171$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.33 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 3,157$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.99 | 329 | 35.6%117 W · 212 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 3,021$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.51 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.97 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Alex de Minaur | 69c | 2,970$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.5 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Alex de Minaur | 71c | 2,962$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Alex de Minaur | 70c | 2,814$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Alex de Minaur | 72c | 2,637$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 2,523$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.16 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex de Minaur | 2c | 2,359$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Alex de Minaur | 31c | 2,302$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.27 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 52c | 2,247$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.65 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Alex de Minaur | 19c | 2,238$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Matteo Arnaldi | 37c | 2,180$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.73 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 2,095$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.39 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex de Minaur | 71c | 2,000$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.94 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Alex de Minaur | 76c | 1,973$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.31 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 1,928$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.62 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,914$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.27 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 1,891$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.03 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Alex de Minaur | 75c | 1,842$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Matteo Arnaldi | 39c | 1,744$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.95 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Matteo Arnaldi | 41c | 1,725$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.6 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 45c | 1,705$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.99 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 1,667$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.22 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Matteo Arnaldi | 36c | 1,631$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.04 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Alex de Minaur | 49c | 1,573$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.19 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 47c | 1,556$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.84 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex de Minaur | 18c | 1,555$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.47 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Alex de Minaur | 65c | 1,543$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alex de Minaur | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Alex de Minaur | 72c | 1,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.96 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 26c | 1,457$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.01 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 1,422$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.41 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matteo Arnaldi | 44c | 1,410$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.49 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Alex de Minaur | 73c | 1,409$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,409$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Alex de Minaur | 51c | 1,300$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Matteo Arnaldi | 20c | 1,295$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.37 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 1,196$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d87cbacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 1,187$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 1,085$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.19 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.42 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Alex de Minaur | 70c | 1,060$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Alex de Minaur | 25c | 1,041$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 1,029$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Alex de Minaur | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Alex de Minaur | 18c | 996.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 956.96$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.18 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 885$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.99 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 877.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.27 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1613backed Matteo Arnaldi | 48c | 869.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.94 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 851.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alex de Minaur | 70c | 847.99$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.59 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 72%126 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 833$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.1 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 810.93$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Alex de Minaur | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Alex de Minaur | 70c | 792.79$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Alex de Minaur | 66c | 756.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 282 | 62.4%176 W · 106 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 38c | 715.79$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Matteo Arnaldi | 32c | 703.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.93 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs ArnaldiMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)Arnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.