TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x440a…035abacked Yes34c28,239$9,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,595.831030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes2c25,812$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes25c19,962$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.532835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c17,994$14,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.6793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes14c17,080$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.671,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes13c13,652$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c11,232$8,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c11,107$8,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.6449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No71c6,956$4,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.8410650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No58c5,788$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.083641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes3c3,793$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.594339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4458…b7dbbacked Yes30c3,789$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No66c3,355$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.767160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No56c3,258$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+92.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes46c3,011$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.9733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes31c2,937$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.234337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes18c2,931$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.941428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes20c2,805$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7911053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c2,639$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.3368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No77c2,568$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.4251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes43c2,567$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c2,335$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6626241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes43c2,246$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked No53c2,235$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.522330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes18c1,949$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.343318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No53c1,930$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.026142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes18c1,812$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.121833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes15c1,726$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3312044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked No70c1,554$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes27c1,547$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.28825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c1,468$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.0322743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes30c1,463$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5913350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes13c1,458$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.563221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No75c1,094$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8714651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c1,023$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed No60c1,009$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…2bd0backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes13c986.77$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.633016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes11c984.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.778617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No56c973.6$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.384445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f1…b417backed Yes48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c953.18$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes15c949.31$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.351127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes41c930.47$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No77c906.93$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No77c867.31$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.488354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes19c801.18$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.221631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes23c744.29$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.692040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes15c700.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.71714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No59c699.99$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Yes14c697.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes12c599.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes79c594.84$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.22548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes41c592.88$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed No55c583.8$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.711233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked No55c574.07$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.333828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a7…b778backed Yes13c570.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes20c567.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.266936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes21c551.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c548.79$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.46845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c526.55$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.216170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No54c497$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.622080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No54c486.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.658360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No54c486.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.656861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes47c467.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.952360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No58c457.02$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.931526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Yes12c449.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No54c447.3$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.767358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes47c425.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2227226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c4…c488backed Yes46c420.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5222237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.643537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes14c409.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.281050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+89.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c387.25$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0712350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes18c380.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.371421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes48c357.25$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.485642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c345.38$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8819952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes9c327.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…8c67backed No57c310.92$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No75c306.44$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No71c277.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5114159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes11c269.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.398644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…d124backed Yes16c264.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes43c260.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6711…1485backed Yes39c258.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No53c250.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.631172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Yes29c250$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2812…9c8bbacked Yes43c241.45$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes40c241.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.44955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Yes41c237.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes48c222.02$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.571241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes46c217.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bda…8da4backed Yes22c214.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes43c207.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.35642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.