TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23c8…f293backed No44c11,118$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.283154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No43c7,800$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,445.994341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes58c7,557$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes57c7,300$4,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c6,292$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.367538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No42c5,571$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.114050%20 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes56c5,513$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.287443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24028241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c3,726$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.562,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes51c3,460$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7405152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes9c2,925$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.171,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes9c2,750$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.464153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c2,593$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45234547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No44c2,390$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.721866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No43c2,166$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24028755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c2,067$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.6248141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No63c1,663$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.3311762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c1,427$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5764043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c1,126$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.721,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504734%16 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked No44c950.5$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No42c894.45$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003941%16 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes59c885.64$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5224447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c839.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1833737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes57c817$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.694837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c749.64$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9369851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c735.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.3556951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x229a…2a75backed Yes20c631.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…32c0backed No43c619.45$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28224050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No44c568$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0848146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No44c567.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0763645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes24c551.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.046232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2855870.7%41 W · 17 L+10.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked No44c455$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No44c409.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.582240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes35c406.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.975131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes22c392.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.459354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No43c369$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3315747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes15c359.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-86%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa159…ac8ebacked No44c340.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+134.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c333.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Yes54c329.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes57c316.2$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No43c307.22$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4316846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes57c304$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.282352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed58…f083backed Yes49c303.16$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae92…d367backed No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b87…a487backed Yes14c290$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes47c275$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes53c271.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No41c256.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.127138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.54949%24 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes35c230.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.412141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No44c227.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4822047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c221.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.091,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes57c219.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c213.9$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9242046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No48c207.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8711956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe663…ca5dbacked Yes49c203.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes69c191$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.439476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes58c190$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Yes8c178.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Yes57c173.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes59c170.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c167.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.083,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…8f13backed Yes57c166.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…1959backed Yes56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a6…771fbacked Yes57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes55c132$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0417456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No43c129.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.094252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes18c126.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.366645.5%30 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c121.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0839857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes24c118.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8714755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No44c113.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8310244.1%45 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…db19backed Yes58c111.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c101.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0962452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566055%33 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.