TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes23c7,484$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c7,152$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.031,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes21c2,839$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.7164043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,272$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.233,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes25c1,253$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.741,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No77c1,059$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.67255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c826.05$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.352,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No77c806.76$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.552369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No66c758$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.722259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick71cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c758$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7248141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No77c718.28$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.228755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c578.41$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9729855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes25c419$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.746532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes17c409.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.274129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c344.74$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No74c344$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.429476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xba4c…4046backed Yes28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c293$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2740744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Yes23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes24c210.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.563132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No77c210$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.315747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes23c202.76$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.675131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No79c193$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.223951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes22c187.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3412141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e1…ee29backed No78c173.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.08475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes34c158.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e2…78d3backed No78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c151.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8562452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes23c146.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+180.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c146.15$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6242046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes23c145.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0111539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes24c131.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No75c124.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.514153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No72c119.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c111.8$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7133047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes31c109$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7922669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes10c105$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238458.3%49 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236055%33 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2316846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes30c96.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No73c94.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0153140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes23c88.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3111250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1591…3cc4backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228c…0fb0backed Yes23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.083545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes26c82.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No78c82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9714755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.152437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No71c75.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6714642.5%62 W · 84 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No77c68.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6827138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes34c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes25c59.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c59.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9649647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No68c58.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc971…54bcbacked No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…d0cfbacked Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.520251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes27c40.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.052040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3f…2508backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick75cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2527554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.893070%21 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf47…6c2ebacked No78c32.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked No78c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.239857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41dd…6c94backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c21.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9321355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed No75c20.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No77c18.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.312056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1415160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No73c16.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6111956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…5bc1backed No77c14.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.